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South East

Adur

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
1 people on asylum support in Adur

Rank 335 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.15 per 10,000 puts Adur in the 7th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 1 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.0M a year.

What asylum costs Adur

£23Kestimated hotel costs/year
£3Ksubsistence payments/year
£1KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 1 people on asylum support in Adur(0.00% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Adur: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

1
8530Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Dec 2015Rwanda scheme
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20141
Jun 20142
Sept 20144
Dec 20142
Mar 20153
Jun 20153
Sept 20152
Dec 20158
Mar 20163
Jun 20161
Sept 20162
Dec 20162
Mar 20172
Jun 20172
Sept 20171
Dec 20171
Mar 20181
Jun 20181
Sept 20181
Mar 20194
Jun 20195
Sept 20196
Dec 20196
Mar 20206
Jun 20205
Sept 20201
Dec 20201
Mar 20211
Jun 20211
Sept 20211
Dec 20211
Mar 20221
Jun 20221
Jun 20251
Sept 20252
Dec 20251

Trend

-1Latest quarter change
+0Change across series
36Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation0
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
1
Homes for Ukraine
128
Afghan programme
20
Resettlement cumulative
15

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine128
Afghan programme20
Resettlement cumulative15

Population context

All pathways total149
Share of local population0.23%

Ethnic composition projection

Adur: White British 88.9% (2021) to 76.0% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Adur

024497398% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 69% in 2061White Other 9% in 2061Asian 4% in 2061Mixed 11% in 2061Other 5% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Adur

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
93%
2021
89%
2031proj
86%
2041proj
81%
2051proj
76%
8%
2061proj
69%
9%
11%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Adur ranges from39.6% to 66.0%by 2051. That is a 26.4pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 47.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.4% (2021) → 1.5% (2051). Christian 45.8% → 8.9%.

Religion: Adur

426497193%Census 2021Christian 9% in 2051No religion 88% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

8.1% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.28). 96.9% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Adur

327507397%Census 2021UK-born 59% in 2051Foreign-born 41% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.6% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
other13.2% internal, 1.7% international
white other11.7% internal, 2.2% international
asian9.5% internal, 1.7% international
black9.4% internal, 1.7% international
mixed10% internal, 0.6% international
white british7.2% internal, 0.2% international

Why Adur is changing

-4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1pp
Local migration
+3.4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Adur on UK Demographics →