asylumstatsFollow the money
System notebook

Separate claims, backlog, support, appeals, and returns.

Use this after the place-led map when you need to keep flows, stocks, route families, and post-decision paths separate.

Back to the place map

What matters first

In 2026 Q2, 17,233 asylum claims were lodged and 22,176 initial decisions were made, while 40,168 people were still awaiting an initial decision and 93,293 were on asylum support at quarter end.

Stock and flow stay split

Support and backlog are not the same stock

93,293 people were on asylum support at quarter end while 40,168 were still awaiting an initial decision. Those measures overlap without matching.

Claims and decisions were moving on different tracks

In 2026 Q2, 22,176 initial decisions ran ahead of 17,233 claims by 4,943.

The tribunal backlog is growing faster than the tribunal can clear it

In Q4 2025/26, the immigration and asylum tribunal took in 27,689 appeals and cleared 15,317, leaving 151,767 cases open. Mean time to clear reached 61 weeks.

Use this page

Use the routes page in three moves

This page should explain the national system, not overload the reader with every series at once.

01Start here

Read the stock and flow model first

If claims, backlog, support, appeals, and returns are read as one measure, the rest of the page becomes misleading immediately.

Open stock vs flow

02Then check

Use the route findings and case files

Those sections tell you what changed nationally and how the abstract measures land in named places and named hotels.

Open findings

03Only if needed

Open the trend and route ledgers later

The extra charts, route splits, regional maps, and full leaderboards are there to widen the view once the system logic is already clear.

Open the deep data

Named case files behind the national numbers

National stocks and flows only become concrete when they land in named hotels, named actors, and specific places. These live case files show where that chain is already public.

Broken chainWest Northamptonshireunresolvedprovider money link

Holiday Inn, Flore is public, but the chain still breaks

Holiday Inn, Flore in West Northamptonshire already has a public hotel row and a provider-level money trail. 478 people were on asylum support there at quarter end, with 271 in contingency accommodation.

  1. 01
    Money trail

    Serco is the public contract layer attached to this site in the live starter ledger.

    Open provider money trail
  2. 02
    Place pressure

    478 people were on asylum support there at quarter end, with 271 in contingency accommodation.

    Open place profile

The money step is provider-scope rather than site-specific.

Open Serco profile
Visible chainWakefieldpartialdirect money link

Cedar Court Hotel now links the hotel and money layers

Cedar Court Hotel in Wakefield already has a direct public money row attached. 724 people were on asylum support there at quarter end, with 114 in contingency accommodation.

  1. 01
    Money trail

    Asylum accommodation and support contract regional scope: Mears is already the public money row tied to this site.

    Open direct money row
  2. 02
    Place pressure

    724 people were on asylum support there at quarter end, with 114 in contingency accommodation.

    Open place profile
Open Mears profile
Broken chainNorth Yorkshireunresolvedprovider money link

Allerton Court Hotel is public, but the chain still breaks

Allerton Court Hotel in North Yorkshire already has a public hotel row and a provider-level money trail. 325 people were on asylum support there at quarter end, with 62 in contingency accommodation.

  1. 01
    Money trail

    Mears is the public contract layer attached to this site in the live starter ledger.

    Open provider money trail
  2. 02
    Place pressure

    325 people were on asylum support there at quarter end, with 62 in contingency accommodation.

    Open place profile

The money step is provider-scope rather than site-specific.

Open Mears profile

How to read asylum stock, flow, and churn

This site keeps claims, initial decisions, awaiting-decision stock, and supported asylum stock in separate lanes. That matters because steady local counts can still hide heavy turnover when new people enter support as others leave it.

Core logic

Quarter-end stock, not throughput

Supported asylum counts show how many people were receiving support at the end of the period. They are not new claims, arrivals, or the number of distinct people seen across the period.

Support is not the same thing as the backlog

People awaiting an initial decision and people on asylum support overlap, but they are not identical groups. Some supported people are further into appeals or on other support routes, while some people awaiting an initial decision are not in the published support count.

Processing and exits move the stock

The stock changes when people enter support and when they leave it through case progression, including grants, refusals, withdrawals, departures, or moves out of the published support categories.

Flat local lines can still hide churn

A place hovering around the same level can mean low movement, or heavy turnover with inflows offset by exits. The published local tables do not show how many different people passed through support in that area.

Initial outcomes are not latest outcomes

Initial decisions show operational output at the time of decision. Latest outcomes by claim year can change later through appeals, reconsiderations, or subsequent case progression, so the two measures should not be treated as interchangeable.

People, claims, and claim cohorts are different units

Home Office asylum tables mix quarterly claim flows, quarter-end stock counts, and claim-year cohorts. The site keeps those units separate and does not add them together as if they were one common total.

National stock vs flow

Claims and initial decisions are quarterly flows. Awaiting an initial decision and receiving asylum support are quarter-end stock counts. They interact, but they are not the same measure.

2026 Q2
Asylum claims17,233

2026 Q2

Initial decisions22,176

2026 Q2

Awaiting initial decision40,168

As at 30 Jun 2026

Supported asylum stock93,293

As at 30 Jun 2026

Quarterly claims and initial decisions are flows through the period. Awaiting decision and support are stock counts at the end of the quarter.

Support stock and awaiting-initial-decision stock overlap, but they are not identical groups. Support can include people at appeal or on other support routes.

Comparing claims and initial decisions in the same quarter shows operational balance, not the experience of one single claim cohort.

Latest outcomes are grouped by year of claim and can change after appeals or later case progression, so they should not be read as current-quarter decision output.

Deep data

Open the extra route charts, regional maps, and full ledgers

Once the stock-flow model is clear, use this section to inspect route splits, trend series, regional concentration, and the wider route tables.

Claims, decisions, backlog, and support move on different tracks

These recent series show why a fall in the backlog, a rise in decisions, and a flat support line should not be collapsed into one story.

Asylum claims

Quarterly inflow into the asylum system.

17,233
30,36820,24510,12302001 Q12026 Q2Peak 2022 Q3
Exact values
PeriodValue
2001 Q119,007
2001 Q215,683
2001 Q318,617
2001 Q417,720
2002 Q122,872
2002 Q224,888
2002 Q327,891
2002 Q427,430
2003 Q119,129
2003 Q212,710
2003 Q314,997
2003 Q413,211
2004 Q110,731
2004 Q29,307
2004 Q310,483
2004 Q410,102
2005 Q18,369
2005 Q27,271
2005 Q37,806
2005 Q47,395
2006 Q17,649
2006 Q26,491
2006 Q37,222
2006 Q46,966
2007 Q16,914
2007 Q26,031
2007 Q37,185
2007 Q48,170
2008 Q17,936
2008 Q27,068
2008 Q38,181
2008 Q48,129
2009 Q110,570
2009 Q27,601
2009 Q36,450
2009 Q46,052
2010 Q15,554
2010 Q25,618
2010 Q35,606
2010 Q45,866
2011 Q16,214
2011 Q26,225
2011 Q36,591
2011 Q46,868
2012 Q16,326
2012 Q26,363
2012 Q37,405
2012 Q47,884
2013 Q17,151
2013 Q27,330
2013 Q37,766
2013 Q47,628
2014 Q17,761
2014 Q27,095
2014 Q39,062
2014 Q48,426
2015 Q17,788
2015 Q27,835
2015 Q312,311
2015 Q412,034
2016 Q110,419
2016 Q210,080
2016 Q39,448
2016 Q49,410
2017 Q18,725
2017 Q28,039
2017 Q38,471
2017 Q49,200
2018 Q18,958
2018 Q28,676
2018 Q39,883
2018 Q410,966
2019 Q111,532
2019 Q29,772
2019 Q311,875
2019 Q412,358
2020 Q110,831
2020 Q26,102
2020 Q310,688
2020 Q49,982
2021 Q17,191
2021 Q210,539
2021 Q317,823
2021 Q422,389
2022 Q116,021
2022 Q219,435
2022 Q330,368
2022 Q429,183
2023 Q118,535
2023 Q219,591
2023 Q326,823
2023 Q422,478
2024 Q121,508
2024 Q223,880
2024 Q329,225
2024 Q430,151
2025 Q121,840
2025 Q227,369
2025 Q330,302
2025 Q422,400
2026 Q115,956
2026 Q217,233
Source: Home Office, asylum claims, released August 2026

Initial decisions

Quarterly operational output. This is not the same thing as latest cohort outcomes.

22,176
59,08639,39119,69502001 Q12026 Q2Peak 2023 Q4
Exact values
PeriodValue
2001 Q147,984
2001 Q228,858
2001 Q324,148
2001 Q422,358
2002 Q129,025
2002 Q224,455
2002 Q326,507
2002 Q424,957
2003 Q125,925
2003 Q218,612
2003 Q318,499
2003 Q419,169
2004 Q119,231
2004 Q214,553
2004 Q313,969
2004 Q411,160
2005 Q110,496
2005 Q29,492
2005 Q39,020
2005 Q47,643
2006 Q18,450
2006 Q26,529
2006 Q35,981
2006 Q46,574
2007 Q17,721
2007 Q27,669
2007 Q36,793
2007 Q45,895
2008 Q15,770
2008 Q26,813
2008 Q37,376
2008 Q46,843
2009 Q17,242
2009 Q28,033
2009 Q310,359
2009 Q48,883
2010 Q17,752
2010 Q27,422
2010 Q37,237
2010 Q47,100
2011 Q17,137
2011 Q26,046
2011 Q36,218
2011 Q46,001
2012 Q16,569
2012 Q25,655
2012 Q35,835
2012 Q46,102
2013 Q17,495
2013 Q26,971
2013 Q36,130
2013 Q44,515
2014 Q14,175
2014 Q25,257
2014 Q38,783
2014 Q410,183
2015 Q113,825
2015 Q28,741
2015 Q39,220
2015 Q49,523
2016 Q18,912
2016 Q28,289
2016 Q38,537
2016 Q48,491
2017 Q18,495
2017 Q27,235
2017 Q37,545
2017 Q47,992
2018 Q19,238
2018 Q28,052
2018 Q37,764
2018 Q47,431
2019 Q18,437
2019 Q27,667
2019 Q37,834
2019 Q48,200
2020 Q18,264
2020 Q23,908
2020 Q34,127
2020 Q45,731
2021 Q16,073
2021 Q25,686
2021 Q35,001
2021 Q45,412
2022 Q16,865
2022 Q26,388
2022 Q38,706
2022 Q49,115
2023 Q114,199
2023 Q216,027
2023 Q333,009
2023 Q459,086
2024 Q132,584
2024 Q220,928
2024 Q318,455
2024 Q439,976
2025 Q141,319
2025 Q239,138
2025 Q340,909
2025 Q439,364
2026 Q132,035
2026 Q222,176
Source: Home Office, asylum outcome analysis, released August 2026

Awaiting initial decision

Quarter-end stock of people waiting for an initial decision.

40,168
175,457116,97158,486030 Jun 201030 Jun 2026Peak 30 Jun 2023
Exact values
PeriodValue
30 Jun 20109,441
30 Sep 20107,915
31 Dec 20107,240
31 Mar 20117,375
30 Jun 20117,527
30 Sep 20117,941
31 Dec 20118,857
31 Mar 20128,399
30 Jun 20129,188
30 Sep 201210,914
31 Dec 201212,816
31 Mar 201312,618
30 Jun 201313,124
30 Sep 201314,897
31 Dec 201318,172
31 Mar 201421,816
30 Jun 201423,725
30 Sep 201424,369
31 Dec 201422,898
31 Mar 201516,879
30 Jun 201516,163
30 Sep 201519,447
31 Dec 201522,147
31 Mar 201623,645
30 Jun 201625,736
30 Sep 201627,252
31 Dec 201627,857
31 Mar 201727,048
30 Jun 201727,709
30 Sep 201728,359
31 Dec 201729,522
31 Mar 201829,264
30 Jun 201829,984
30 Sep 201832,199
31 Dec 201835,855
31 Mar 201938,968
30 Jun 201940,960
30 Sep 201945,255
31 Dec 201951,228
31 Mar 202051,906
30 Jun 202054,073
30 Sep 202060,548
31 Dec 202064,895
31 Mar 202166,185
30 Jun 202170,905
30 Sep 202183,733
31 Dec 2021100,564
31 Mar 2022109,735
30 Jun 2022122,213
30 Sep 2022143,377
31 Dec 2022160,919
31 Mar 2023172,758
30 Jun 2023175,457
30 Sep 2023165,411
31 Dec 2023128,786
31 Mar 2024118,329
30 Jun 2024118,882
30 Sep 2024133,409
31 Dec 2024124,802
31 Mar 2025109,536
30 Jun 202590,812
30 Sep 202580,841
31 Dec 202564,426
31 Mar 202648,758
30 Jun 202640,168
Source: Home Office, asylum work in progress, released August 2026

Supported asylum stock

Quarter-end stock series to 30 Jun 2026. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

93,293
123,75882,50541,253031 Mar 201430 Jun 2026Peak 30 Sep 2023
Exact values
PeriodValue
31 Mar 201431,294
30 Jun 201432,844
30 Sep 201434,465
31 Dec 201436,223
31 Mar 201536,306
30 Jun 201536,103
30 Sep 201537,729
31 Dec 201540,169
31 Mar 201641,563
30 Jun 201642,651
30 Sep 201643,716
31 Dec 201645,152
31 Mar 201744,749
30 Jun 201744,277
30 Sep 201744,956
31 Dec 201746,652
31 Mar 201848,247
30 Jun 201848,725
30 Sep 201849,536
31 Dec 201850,426
31 Mar 201951,383
30 Jun 201950,679
30 Sep 201951,062
31 Dec 201950,091
31 Mar 202050,898
30 Jun 202056,570
30 Sep 202062,909
31 Dec 202064,041
31 Mar 202161,241
30 Jun 202162,871
30 Sep 202168,747
31 Dec 202184,457
31 Mar 202285,007
30 Jun 202293,080
30 Sep 2022100,547
31 Dec 2022110,171
31 Mar 2023112,294
30 Jun 2023117,450
30 Sep 2023123,758
31 Dec 2023111,132
31 Mar 2024104,299
30 Jun 2024100,995
30 Sep 2024109,024
31 Dec 2024112,187
31 Mar 2025106,771
30 Jun 2025106,075
30 Sep 2025111,651
31 Dec 2025107,003
31 Mar 202697,519
30 Jun 202693,293
Source: Home Office, asylum support, released August 2026

Latest quarter decision mix

In 2026 Q2, initial decisions exceeded claims by 4,943. That operational balance does not track a single cohort one-for-one.

Claims lodged
17,233
Initial decisions
22,176
Grants at initial decision
6,109
Refusals
12,970
Withdrawals
2,750
Administrative outcomes
347

Latest support stock mix

As at 30 Jun 2026, hotel accommodation accounted for 17.2% of the published support stock.

Contingency hotel
16,021
Contingency other
1,255
Dispersal accommodation
69,038
Initial accommodation
1,613
Other accommodation
1,162
Subsistence only
4,204

Claim cohorts resolve over time

Initial decisions are the operational read. Latest outcomes by claim year show what changed later after appeals or subsequent case progression.

Claim-year cohorts

Initial grant rate

Estimated grant rate at initial decision for the most recent claim-year cohorts.

44.5%
71%47%24%0%20182025Peak 2021
Exact values
PeriodValue
201848.6%
201957.6%
202060.4%
202170.9%
202260.3%
202343.1%
202441.4%
202544.5%
Source: Home Office, asylum outcome analysis, released August 2026

Latest grant rate

Estimated latest grant rate for the same claim-year cohorts after later case progression.

46.7%
80%54%27%0%20182025Peak 2020
Exact values
PeriodValue
201871.6%
201975.1%
202080.3%
202180.2%
202268%
202348.9%
202445.1%
202546.7%
Source: Home Office, asylum outcome analysis, released August 2026
Claim year 202298.3% latest outcomes known

76,948 claims in the 2022 cohort

Initial grant rate60.3%
Latest grant rate68%
Latest outcome coverage98.3%
Initial withdrawals17,862
Claim year 202396.5% latest outcomes known

68,462 claims in the 2023 cohort

Initial grant rate43.1%
Latest grant rate48.9%
Latest outcome coverage96.5%
Initial withdrawals12,386
Claim year 202494.6% latest outcomes known

82,368 claims in the 2024 cohort

Initial grant rate41.4%
Latest grant rate45.1%
Latest outcome coverage94.6%
Initial withdrawals11,561
Claim year 202589.1% latest outcomes known

82,559 claims in the 2025 cohort

Initial grant rate44.5%
Latest grant rate46.7%
Latest outcome coverage89.1%
Initial withdrawals8,412

Post-decision path

After an initial refusal, some claims move on to the tribunal and some people later leave the UK. The public data stays split, and the two halves are not measured the same way: the tribunal figures are published by the Ministry of Justice on financial-year quarters and cover every immigration and asylum appeal, while current returns are Home Office calendar quarters and are broader than asylum-only exits.

Tribunal data to Q4 2025/262026 Q2 all-returns series

Tribunal appeals received

This series is not a like-for-like continuation of the Home Office asylum-appeals-lodged dataset that ended at 2023 Q1. It counts every appeal lodged with the First-tier Tribunal Immigration and Asylum Chamber, including human rights and EEA free movement cases, so the volumes are much larger than the old asylum-only figures. The two series should not be spliced into one continuous line.

27,689
56,33937,55918,7800Q1 2007/08Q4 2025/26Peak Q2 2008/09
Exact values
PeriodValue
Q1 2007/0840,377
Q2 2007/0854,111
Q3 2007/0844,448
Q4 2007/0845,747
Q1 2008/0949,385
Q2 2008/0956,339
Q3 2008/0949,413
Q4 2008/0950,754
Q1 2009/1043,750
Q2 2009/1045,384
Q3 2009/1043,385
Q4 2009/1040,130
Q1 2010/1136,584
Q2 2010/1139,491
Q3 2010/1135,369
Q4 2010/1134,660
Q1 2011/1228,360
Q2 2011/1235,480
Q3 2011/1230,667
Q4 2011/1227,864
Q1 2012/1326,563
Q2 2012/1325,748
Q3 2012/1327,768
Q4 2012/1323,844
Q1 2013/1431,554
Q2 2013/1427,387
Q3 2013/1424,621
Q4 2013/1421,434
Q1 2014/1519,703
Q2 2014/1521,938
Q3 2014/1525,735
Q4 2014/1524,251
Q1 2015/1621,738
Q2 2015/1619,427
Q3 2015/1618,373
Q4 2015/1617,382
Q1 2016/1716,045
Q2 2016/1714,472
Q3 2016/1712,306
Q4 2016/1711,616
Q1 2017/187,849
Q2 2017/189,662
Q3 2017/1814,921
Q4 2017/1812,908
Q1 2018/1911,884
Q2 2018/1911,235
Q3 2018/1910,387
Q4 2018/1910,358
Q1 2019/209,949
Q2 2019/2010,574
Q3 2019/2011,160
Q4 2019/2010,610
Q1 2020/212,621
Q2 2020/215,362
Q3 2020/217,880
Q4 2020/2110,348
Q1 2021/2213,290
Q2 2021/2210,052
Q3 2021/228,482
Q4 2021/227,918
Q1 2022/236,263
Q2 2022/239,196
Q3 2022/2310,880
Q4 2022/2311,434
Q1 2023/249,358
Q2 2023/2410,399
Q3 2023/2420,175
Q4 2023/2418,116
Q1 2024/2517,500
Q2 2024/2513,511
Q3 2024/2521,790
Q4 2024/2526,273
Q1 2025/2627,534
Q2 2025/2630,309
Q3 2025/2632,165
Q4 2025/2627,689
Source: Ministry of Justice, tribunal statistics quarterly, released June 2026

Tribunal open caseload

Cases still open at the end of each financial-year quarter. Receipts have outrun disposals for several years, so the backlog compounds.

151,767
151,767101,17850,5890Q1 2015/16Q4 2025/26Peak Q4 2025/26
Exact values
PeriodValue
Q1 2015/1652,991
Q2 2015/1652,628
Q3 2015/1657,951
Q4 2015/1661,901
Q1 2016/1764,821
Q2 2016/1762,903
Q3 2016/1757,954
Q4 2016/1752,365
Q1 2017/1843,416
Q2 2017/1836,138
Q3 2017/1835,106
Q4 2017/1836,267
Q1 2018/1934,638
Q2 2018/1931,547
Q3 2018/1927,862
Q4 2018/1924,805
Q1 2019/2023,233
Q2 2019/2020,363
Q3 2019/2019,622
Q4 2019/2019,845
Q1 2020/2120,105
Q2 2020/2122,033
Q3 2020/2123,526
Q4 2020/2124,560
Q1 2021/2231,798
Q2 2021/2233,111
Q3 2021/2231,750
Q4 2021/2228,413
Q1 2022/2325,084
Q2 2022/2325,586
Q3 2022/2329,017
Q4 2022/2330,548
Q1 2023/2430,047
Q2 2023/2430,874
Q3 2023/2441,484
Q4 2023/2450,332
Q1 2024/2558,418
Q2 2024/2563,016
Q3 2024/2574,969
Q4 2024/2590,389
Q1 2025/26105,522
Q2 2025/26121,015
Q3 2025/26139,407
Q4 2025/26151,767
Source: Ministry of Justice, tribunal statistics quarterly, released June 2026

All returns from the UK

This current quarterly returns series is broader than asylum-only exits. It includes enforced returns, voluntary returns, and refused-entry departures.

14,594
19,05012,7006,35002004 Q12026 Q2Peak 2009 Q3
Exact values
PeriodValue
2004 Q117,994
2004 Q214,478
2004 Q313,931
2004 Q414,755
2005 Q113,902
2005 Q213,941
2005 Q314,813
2005 Q415,560
2006 Q115,634
2006 Q216,182
2006 Q315,261
2006 Q416,790
2007 Q115,488
2007 Q215,941
2007 Q316,874
2007 Q417,605
2008 Q117,800
2008 Q216,379
2008 Q318,753
2008 Q417,522
2009 Q117,261
2009 Q217,286
2009 Q319,050
2009 Q418,011
2010 Q116,870
2010 Q215,788
2010 Q316,339
2010 Q415,139
2011 Q115,503
2011 Q213,218
2011 Q315,419
2011 Q416,483
2012 Q115,006
2012 Q214,642
2012 Q315,137
2012 Q415,396
2013 Q115,002
2013 Q215,388
2013 Q315,435
2013 Q415,500
2014 Q115,076
2014 Q213,760
2014 Q314,509
2014 Q414,570
2015 Q114,540
2015 Q214,789
2015 Q315,595
2015 Q416,289
2016 Q115,137
2016 Q214,605
2016 Q314,418
2016 Q414,133
2017 Q113,905
2017 Q211,912
2017 Q313,005
2017 Q412,418
2018 Q111,656
2018 Q210,456
2018 Q311,036
2018 Q411,445
2019 Q110,439
2019 Q29,237
2019 Q39,011
2019 Q49,549
2020 Q17,283
2020 Q21,501
2020 Q34,560
2020 Q45,184
2021 Q14,785
2021 Q27,351
2021 Q38,465
2021 Q48,308
2022 Q18,882
2022 Q28,911
2022 Q310,086
2022 Q410,472
2023 Q111,926
2023 Q212,403
2023 Q313,729
2023 Q413,521
2024 Q113,810
2024 Q213,959
2024 Q315,262
2024 Q415,184
2025 Q114,644
2025 Q213,309
2025 Q314,863
2025 Q415,253
2026 Q114,541
2026 Q214,594
Source: Home Office, returns, released August 2026

Latest tribunal mix

In Q4 2025/26, the First-tier Tribunal took in far more appeals than it cleared. Disposals include appeals withdrawn, struck out or found invalid, so only the smaller group determined at a hearing or on paper carries an allowed rate, which stood at 39% against 42.5% a year earlier.

Receipts
27,689
Disposals
15,317
Determined at hearing or on paper
6,978
Open caseload at quarter end
151,767

Latest returns mix

In 2026 Q2, the current all-returns series was led by voluntary returns, with enforced returns and refused-entry departures shown separately. This is not an asylum-only denominator.

All returns
14,594
Voluntary
7,318
Enforced
2,259
Refused entry and departed
5,017

Tribunal caseload by case type

Q4 2025/26, split by the case types the Ministry of Justice publishes. Asylum and protection appeals dominate the open caseload and take 67 weeks on average to clear.

First-tier Tribunal Immigration and Asylum Chamber, Q4 2025/26. Allowed rate is measured on appeals determined at a hearing or on paper, not on all disposals.
Case typeReceivedDisposedOpenAllowedMean weeks
Asylum, protection and revocation of protection14,7487,79987,45040%67
Human rights4,7132,88530,86744%71
EEA free movement8,1854,58733,14930%46

Tribunal Statistics Quarterly: January to March 2026, published 11 June 2026. Q4 2025/26 figures are provisional and subject to revision. Earlier quarters of 2025/26 are revised as later editions land, and 2024/25 is now final. Next edition 10 September 2026.

Appeals are part of the post-decision path for refused claims. The tribunal series is now current, but it is a MOJ caseload measure on financial-year quarters, not a Home Office asylum-only count.

Current returns tables are timely but broader than asylum-only case resolution, so they should not be treated as a clean continuation of the asylum claims denominator.

Latest claim-year outcomes remain the main asylum-specific resolution view because they capture later case progression, including appeals and subsequent decisions, within the asylum cohort model.

Among cohorts old enough to judge, the return rate has roughly halved

This is the only asylum-specific return rate the Home Office publishes. The quarterly returns tables carry no asylum dimension at all, so they cannot say whether someone returned had ever claimed asylum. The outcome analysis can, because it follows each year of claims through to its final outcome and records the returns for that cohort.

2007 to 2013: 55.3%2015 to 2018: 26.4%

Settled cohorts

Of 81,237 people in the 2007 to 2013 cohorts whose claim ended in a refusal or a withdrawal, 44,959 were recorded as returned, enforced or voluntary. For 2015 to 2018 it is 13,512 of 51,150.

Year of claimRefused or withdrawnReturnedReturn rate
200712,1056,82056.3%
200813,5587,53555.6%
200912,7576,93754.4%
20109,5745,58658.3%
201110,0815,59255.5%
201211,3286,13154.1%
201311,8346,35853.7%
201410,2774,85747.3%
201513,3454,14631.1%
201614,5044,06928.1%
201712,1242,93424.2%
201811,1772,36321.1%

Cohorts still accruing returns, which cannot be compared with those above

A refusal is settled long before a removal happens, so a recent cohort's rate is not a low rate, it is an incomplete one. The Home Office states plainly that this dataset is not comparable over time. These 7 cohorts have had fewer than 8 years and are shown separately for that reason.

Year of claimYears elapsedReturned so farRate so far
201972,95922.1%
202062,12223.0%
202153,33122.0%
202249,33627.2%
202335,76515.0%
202424,79210.2%
202513,3177.8%

The denominator is refusals plus withdrawals, not refusals alone. A withdrawn claim still leaves someone liable to removal, and in the 2022 cohort the Albania returns were overwhelmingly withdrawals: measured against refusals only, that cohort returns 179% of the people it refused.

Void, suspended and deceased cases are excluded from the denominator, because they are not returnable.

Figures cover main applicants. The outcome analysis counts claims on the same basis as returns, so dependants are outside this measure on both sides.

Only recorded returns count. People who leave without notifying the Home Office, and people who remain without permission, are invisible to this series in either direction.

Cohorts are treated as settled after 8 years. That threshold is measured rather than assumed: against the previous edition of this dataset, every cohort up to 2018 moved by less than 0.3 percentage points in a quarter, while 2019 onward moved by 0.7 to 3.6 points.

Enforcement activity rose faster than the routes it targets

Recorded disruptions of organised immigration crime reached 3,766 in the year to March 2026, up 46% on the year before, while returns to France under the UK-France agreement ran close to transfers in. Both series come from the Border Security Commander's annual report rather than the quarterly statistics, and neither is a designated official statistic.

ad hoc / in development, not designated official statisticsPublished 16 July 2026

Organised immigration crime disruptions

All impact levels. Figures were revised down when this series moved to the annual report, so they do not splice onto the older quarterly tables.

1,138
1,13875937902023-Q12026-Q1Peak 2026-Q1
Exact values
PeriodValue
2023-Q1311
2023-Q2378
2023-Q3443
2023-Q4423
2024-Q1533
2024-Q2646
2024-Q3572
2024-Q4559
2025-Q1801
2025-Q2694
2025-Q3901
2025-Q41,033
2026-Q11,138
Source: Border Security Command, disruptions and arrests, released July 2026

Major disruptions only

The highest impact tier, and the one least sensitive to the recording changes that lifted the minor count.

34
34231102023-Q12026-Q1Peak 2026-Q1
Exact values
PeriodValue
2023-Q17
2023-Q214
2023-Q314
2023-Q417
2024-Q113
2024-Q221
2024-Q316
2024-Q421
2025-Q126
2025-Q224
2025-Q322
2025-Q428
2026-Q134
Source: Border Security Command, disruptions and arrests, released July 2026

Transferred into the UK under the UK-France agreement

1,117 in and 1,087 out over 6 august 2025 to 30 june 2026.

314
3142091050August 2025June 2026Peak June 2026
Exact values
PeriodValue
August 20250
September 20253
October 202551
November 202587
December 2025104
January 2026122
February 20263
March 202673
April 2026138
May 2026222
June 2026314
Source: Border Security Command, UK-France agreement transfers, released July 2026

Disruptions by impact level

The minor tier grew fastest in absolute terms and the moderate tier fastest in percentage terms. Major disruptions, the tier hardest to record differently, rose 29%.

Impact level1 April 2024 to 31 March 20251 April 2025 to 31 March 2026Change
Major84108+29%
Moderate283506+79%
Minor2,2113,152+43%
All disruptions2,5783,766+46%

Arrests, and why the agency table does not add up to them

The Home Office reports at least 1,900 arrests in the year to March 2026, against at least 1,100 the year before. Counts agency involvement in an arrest, not arrests. More than one agency can be involved in the same arrest, so these columns sum to more than the arrest total and must never be added up to produce one.

Agency involved1 April 2024 to 31 March 20251 April 2025 to 31 March 2026
National Crime Agency194305
Police Forces3821,173
Home Office817902

Disruption figures are official statistics in development and are provisional, taken from live operational systems.

Arrest figures are not classified as official statistics.

The July 2026 release revises figures down against those previously published in Immigration system statistics, so the two series are not comparable.

Coverage is limited to the National Crime Agency, Home Office, NPCC police forces, Police Scotland and the PSNI.

An ad hoc statistical release from operational reporting systems, not designated official statistics.

Someone returned to France who later re-enters the UK is counted once, not once per return.

Returns count completed returns to France, not referrals, detention or readmission requests.

Figures may be revised for corrections, duplicates or case reclassification.

Where the split matters most

These route families are the fastest way to show why one-number storytelling breaks the public picture.

8 route families tracked
Humanitarian routesYear ending June 2026

Safe and legal (humanitarian) grants

124,930

Includes refugee resettlement, refugee family reunion, Ukraine and BN(O) routes. Do not present as a refugee total, and do not read it as arrivals: 86,663 of the 124,930 in Year ending June 2026 were granted in country, which the Home Office defines as extensions for people already in the UK.

Granted out of country38,267
Extensions granted in country86,663
Scheme statusMixed route family
Local breakdownNo single local authority split

Source

Asylum support system2026-06-30

Supported asylum population

93,293

Quarter-end stock of people receiving asylum support. Changes reflect net movement onto and off support, not the number of distinct people who passed through the system.

Scheme statusNot a refugee scheme
Local breakdownLatest local authority snapshot available

Source

Humanitarian routeYear ending June 2026

Ukraine arrivals

13,600

Use arrivals rather than grants when comparing to local authority placement counts.

Scheme statusNot a refugee resettlement scheme
Local breakdownLatest local authority arrivals snapshot available

Source

Illegal entry routes, year ending june 2026

Different entry methods carry different operational and policy questions. They should not blur.

Small boat arrivals
33,374
Inadequately documented air arrivals
2,492
Recorded detections in the UK
1,962
Recorded detections at UK ports
258

Small-boat asylum decision groups

Arrival cohorts for 2025. Decision outcomes need their own view, not a single arrivals headline.

Grant of Protection
18,435
Refused
14,016
Awaiting initial decision
4,508
Withdrawn
2,214
Administrative Outcome
471
Grant of Other Leave
308

Regional pressure map

National route families eventually resolve into regional concentration. Totals and rates tell slightly different stories, so both belong on the page.

2026-06-30 local snapshot

Supported asylum by region

North West currently carries the largest total supported asylum count.

total people
Scotland: 6,853 total peopleNorthern Ireland: 2,270 total peopleNorth West: 18,962 total peopleNorth East: 7,049 total peopleYorkshire and The Humber: 8,164 total peopleWales: 3,223 total peopleWest Midlands: 11,756 total peopleEast Midlands: 7,710 total peopleSouth West: 3,387 total peopleSouth East: 6,646 total peopleEast of England: 5,133 total peopleLondon: 12,140 total people
  • Scotland6,853
  • Northern Ireland2,270
  • North West18,962
  • North East7,049
  • Yorkshire and The Humber8,164
  • Wales3,223
  • West Midlands11,756
  • East Midlands7,710
  • South West3,387
  • South East6,646
  • East of England5,133
  • London12,140
Highlighted regions mark the current focus. Select a region on the map to open its region page. Darker fills indicate higher values in the active map mode.
RegionNorth West

total people

Current signaltotal people

18,962 total people in this regional view.

Reading noteOpen region page

18,962 total people in this regional view.

Quick shortlistTop regions in this view
total people

North West

18,962 total people in this regional view.

Open region page

Supported asylum rate by region

North East currently has the highest weighted rate per 10,000 residents.

rate per 10,000
Scotland: 12.36 rate per 10,000Northern Ireland: 11.77 rate per 10,000North West: 24.4 rate per 10,000North East: 25.51 rate per 10,000Yorkshire and The Humber: 14.39 rate per 10,000Wales: 10.15 rate per 10,000West Midlands: 18.94 rate per 10,000East Midlands: 15.16 rate per 10,000South West: 5.73 rate per 10,000South East: 6.86 rate per 10,000East of England: 7.76 rate per 10,000London: 13.31 rate per 10,000
  • Scotland12.36
  • Northern Ireland11.77
  • North West24.4
  • North East25.51
  • Yorkshire and The Humber14.39
  • Wales10.15
  • West Midlands18.94
  • East Midlands15.16
  • South West5.73
  • South East6.86
  • East of England7.76
  • London13.31
Highlighted regions mark the current focus. Select a region on the map to open its region page. Darker fills indicate higher values in the active map mode.
RegionNorth East

rate per 10,000

Current signalrate per 10,000

25.51 rate per 10,000 in this regional view.

Reading noteOpen region page

25.51 rate per 10,000 in this regional view.

Quick shortlistTop regions in this view
rate per 10,000

North East

25.51 rate per 10,000 in this regional view.

Open region page

Full route family ledger

The remaining route families still matter, but they need calmer treatment once the high-volume public confusion is made explicit.

Irregular asylum route2026 (Q1 to Q2 only)

Small boat arrivals

11,884

Not a refugee scheme

Detected arrivals via small boat across the UK.

Local breakdown: No standard local authority split

Source

Refugee resettlement and relocationYear ending June 2026

Afghan Resettlement Programme arrivals

3,352

Scheme family

National yearly arrivals from summary tables; local stock from immigration group tables; quarterly local arrival history from resettlement tables.

Local breakdown: Latest local population snapshot and local quarterly arrivals available

Source

Refugee resettlementYear ending June 2026

UK Resettlement Scheme and predecessor schemes

488

Scheme family

This build groups UKRS, Mandate, VPRS, VCRS, and Gateway to avoid pretending the current local stock table publishes them separately.

Local breakdown: Quarterly local authority arrivals available

Source

Refugee resettlement support model2025

Community Sponsorship arrivals

12

Scheme support channel

Separate from core resettlement totals because this is a sponsorship mechanism rather than a separate national asylum route.

Local breakdown: Quarterly local authority arrivals available

Source

Protection-linked family routeYear ending June 2026

Refugee Family Reunion grants

12,888

Not a refugee resettlement scheme

Family route connected to existing protection status in the UK.

Local breakdown: No local authority split

Source

Local pressure leaders

National routes still resolve into local concentration. These tables show where specific pressures actually land.

2026-06-30 local snapshot

Supported asylum population

Top eight local authority areas for supported asylum population in the latest local snapshot.
AreaValue
Glasgow City3,938
Birmingham2,136
Liverpool1,961
Coventry1,700
Belfast1,540
Manchester1,509
Sandwell1,467
Leeds1,365

Supported asylum rate per 10,000

Top eight local authority areas for supported asylum rate per 10,000 in the latest local snapshot.
AreaValue
Glasgow City60.18
Hyndburn49.02
Braintree47.52
Burnley46.66
Coventry46.61
Blackburn with Darwen46.4
Halton45.79
Rugby45.15

Contingency accommodation population

Top eight local authority areas for contingency accommodation population in the latest local snapshot.
AreaValue
Hillingdon965
Hounslow924
Barnet731
Manchester708
Birmingham589
Croydon557
Newham541
Stockport485

Homes for Ukraine arrivals

Top eight local authority areas for homes for ukraine arrivals in the latest local snapshot.
AreaValue
Buckinghamshire2,256
Somerset2,016
Barnet1,988
Ealing1,826
Wiltshire1,777
North Yorkshire1,712
Merton1,654
Greenwich1,443

Afghan Resettlement Programme population

Top eight local authority areas for afghan resettlement programme population in the latest local snapshot.
AreaValue
Leeds685
Birmingham643
Islington611
Bradford573
City of Edinburgh572
Coventry556
Bristol, City of491
Wiltshire458

Cumulative resettlement arrivals since 2014

Top eight local authority areas for cumulative resettlement arrivals since 2014 in the latest local snapshot.
AreaValue
Bradford846
Coventry799
City of Edinburgh712
Birmingham659
Gateshead515
Bristol, City of499
Belfast419
Leeds406

Current limits

This is already publishable, but it is still a constrained read of the route system rather than a complete public operating model.

Small boat arrivals are a national arrival-route series. The published local asylum-support tables do not tell you which supported people arrived by small boat.

The latest local immigration groups table is a stock snapshot as at 30 June 2026, while resettlement local authority data is a quarterly arrivals series.

Awaiting an initial decision and receiving asylum support overlap, but they are not identical published populations. Support is not a synonym for the backlog.

Appeals now come from the MOJ tribunal statistics rather than the discontinued Home Office appeals dataset. MOJ counts every First-tier Tribunal immigration and asylum appeal on financial-year quarters, so the volumes are much larger than the old asylum-only series and the periods do not line up with the Home Office calendar quarters.

A rise or fall in supported asylum stock is net change after both inflows and exits. Grants, refusals, withdrawals, departures, and other case progression can all change the published support count.

A flat local supported-asylum line does not prove there was no movement. Published local tables cannot show how many different people passed through support in an area over the period.

Latest outcomes are grouped by year of claim and can change after appeals or later case progression. They are not the same measure as current-quarter initial decisions.

The current returns series on this page is broader than asylum-only exits because it includes enforced returns, voluntary returns, and refused-entry departures.

Homes for Ukraine, refugee family reunion, and Afghan resettlement should be compared with clear labels because they are not the same kind of route or scheme.