Log what changed and which parts of the site should move with it.
Release discipline matters because national asylum numbers, local authority tables, hotel scrutiny documents,
and local public evidence do not all update together.
Release timeline
The diary should tell users what moved, when it moved, and what evidence layer drove the change.
2026-04-14
2026-04-14Latest
Model v7.0: Census 2011 DC2101EW, per-LA migration, 25 findings
Major model upgrade. Census 2011 DC2101EW (18 groups, observed) replaces NEWETHPOP proportional splitting. MAE improved 2.45 to 1.71pp. Per-LA ethnic migration rates from Census 2021. Scenario selector on every place page. Cost calculator. Backlog clock. Postcode resolver. Grant rate appeal toggle. 25 findings live.
Asy_D04 outcome analysis: true grant rates after appeals
Home Office outcome analysis (Dec 2025) integrated. 103 nationalities with initial + appeal-adjusted grant rates. Average uplift +14.1pp. Iran 67% initial to 85% after appeals. Sri Lanka 27% to 59%.
Empirical TFRs from ONS Linked Births 2024. White British TFR 1.31, Pakistani 2.52. National ASFRs by age band. IMD deprivation fertility gradient 1.66x. 567,460 births analysed.