Release diary

Log what changed and which parts of the site should move with it.

Release discipline matters because national asylum numbers, local authority tables, hotel scrutiny documents, and local public evidence do not all update together.

Release timeline

The diary should tell users what moved, when it moved, and what evidence layer drove the change.

2026-04-14
2026-04-14 Latest

Model v7.0: Census 2011 DC2101EW, per-LA migration, 25 findings

Major model upgrade. Census 2011 DC2101EW (18 groups, observed) replaces NEWETHPOP proportional splitting. MAE improved 2.45 to 1.71pp. Per-LA ethnic migration rates from Census 2021. Scenario selector on every place page. Cost calculator. Backlog clock. Postcode resolver. Grant rate appeal toggle. 25 findings live.

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2026-04-14
2026-04-14

Asy_D04 outcome analysis: true grant rates after appeals

Home Office outcome analysis (Dec 2025) integrated. 103 nationalities with initial + appeal-adjusted grant rates. Average uplift +14.1pp. Iran 67% initial to 85% after appeals. Sri Lanka 27% to 59%.

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2026-04-14
2026-04-14

ONS Births 2024 fertility data integrated

Empirical TFRs from ONS Linked Births 2024. White British TFR 1.31, Pakistani 2.52. National ASFRs by age band. IMD deprivation fertility gradient 1.66x. 567,460 births analysed.

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2026-02-26
2026-02-26

National asylum statistics updated

Year ending December 2025 figures published, including 107,200 people on support and 31,000 in hotels.

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2026-01-23
2026-01-23

Committee report confirms 197 hotels in use

Home Affairs Committee report captures the official count of hotels in use as of 5 January 2026.

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2025-11-27
2025-11-27

Local authority asylum and resettlement tables updated

Latest public local release remained the year ending September 2025, with Glasgow still highest by count.

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2025-06-12
2025-06-12

Home Office publishes hotel cost factsheet

Average daily hotel cost for 2024/25 published at GBP 5.77 million.

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