asylumstatsFollow the money
East Midlands

Ashfield

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Lee Anderson
Lee AndersonReform UK · Ashfield
185 people on asylum support in Ashfield

Rank 143 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 14.17 per 10,000 puts Ashfield in the 69th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 3 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 185 people at £107 per person per day is about £7.2M a year.

What asylum costs Ashfield

£4.2Mestimated hotel costs/year
£473Ksubsistence payments/year
£222KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 185 people on asylum support in Ashfield(0.20% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Ashfield: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

147
14798490Mar 2015Dec 2025Peak Dec 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20151
Jun 20151
Sept 20151
Dec 20151
Mar 20161
Jun 20161
Sept 20161
Dec 20163
Mar 20173
Jun 20173
Sept 20173
Dec 20173
Mar 20184
Jun 20183
Sept 20183
Dec 20181
Mar 20191
Jun 20191
Sept 20191
Dec 20193
Mar 20203
Jun 20203
Sept 20203
Dec 20203
Mar 20213
Jun 20212
Sept 20213
Dec 20212
Mar 20222
Jun 20222
Sept 20222
Dec 20222
Mar 20232
Jun 202313
Sept 202329
Dec 202338
Mar 202443
Jun 202452
Sept 202460
Dec 202474
Mar 2025104
Jun 2025111
Sept 2025127
Dec 2025147

Trend

+20Latest quarter change
+146Change across series
44Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation182
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only3
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
185
Homes for Ukraine
124
Afghan programme
53
Resettlement cumulative
46

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine124
Afghan programme53
Resettlement cumulative46

Population context

All pathways total362
Share of local population0.28%

Ethnic composition projection

Ashfield: White British 91.8% (2021) to 76.9% (2051). 80% CI: 76.7, 80.2%.

Ethnic composition: Ashfield

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 67% in 2061White Other 8% in 2061Asian 4% in 2061Black 5% in 2061Mixed 14% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Ashfield

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
92%
2031proj
89%
2041proj
84%
2051proj
77%
2061proj
67%
8%
14%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Ashfield ranges from56.3% to 77.2%by 2051. That is a 20.9pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 63.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.6% (2021) → 2.0% (2051). Christian 44.6% → 8.4%.

Religion: Ashfield

326487093%Census 2021Christian 8% in 2051No religion 88% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

5.7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.22). 96.8% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Ashfield

125507599%Census 2021UK-born 67% in 2051Foreign-born 33% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.1% moved within UK, 0.3% arrived from abroad
black15% internal, 2.9% international
white other13.8% internal, 2.1% international
asian13% internal, 2.3% international
mixed12.3% internal, 0.5% international
other8.9% internal, 2.9% international
white british6.6% internal, 0.1% international

Why Ashfield is changing

-4.2pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+3.4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Ashfield on UK Demographics →