Trend
+19 Latest quarter change
+333 Change across series
48 Official data points
Basildon
338 on asylum support. Rank 108 nationally, 8 in East of England. Rate: 17.46 per 10,000 (73rd percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
2025-12-31 East of England region
Summary
Basildon has 338 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 108 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 17.46 per 10,000 residents places it around the 73rd percentile. No contingency accommodation recorded. No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Basildon
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 337
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 1
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 294
Afghan programme 36
Resettlement cumulative 4
Population context
All pathways total 668
Share of local population 0.34%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Basildon: WBI 82.1% (2021) → 43.5% (2051). White British minority by ~2047. 80% CI: 44–50.4%.
Ethnic composition — Basildon
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 1.9% (2021) → 7.3% (2051). Christian 49.1% → 11.9%.
Religion — Basildon
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu
Nativity
11.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.4). 94.9% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Basildon
UK-born Foreign-born
emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Basildon is changing
-7.4ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 62.2%
Mixed 70.4%
White Other 76.6%
Other 68.8%
Homeownership rate
White British 65.2%
Mixed 49.6%
White Other 56.8%
Other 52.5%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 23.4%
Mixed 29.3%
White Other 40.3%
Other 41.5%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
338 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
17.46 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in East of England by supported asylum.