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South East

Basingstoke and Deane

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Luke Murphy
Luke MurphyLabour · Basingstoke
20 people on asylum support in Basingstoke and Deane

Rank 279 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 1.03 per 10,000 puts Basingstoke and Deane in the 19th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. Accommodation and support for 20 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.8M a year.

What asylum costs Basingstoke and Deane

£452Kestimated hotel costs/year
£51Ksubsistence payments/year
£24KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 20 people on asylum support in Basingstoke and Deane(0.02% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Basingstoke and Deane: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

20
224149750Mar 2016Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20161
Dec 2021109
Mar 202229
Jun 202240
Sept 202240
Dec 2022185
Mar 2023192
Jun 2023163
Sept 2023224
Dec 20231
Jun 20242
Sept 20243
Dec 20243
Mar 20255
Jun 202517
Sept 202525
Dec 202520

Trend

-5Latest quarter change
+19Change across series
17Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation20
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
20
Homes for Ukraine
518
Afghan programme
43
Resettlement cumulative
4

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine518
Afghan programme43
Resettlement cumulative4

Population context

All pathways total581
Share of local population0.3%

Ethnic composition projection

Basingstoke and Deane: White British 81.8% (2021) to 63.6% (2051). 80% CI: 63, 67.4%.

Ethnic composition: Basingstoke and Deane

023477093% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 55% in 2061White Other 10% in 2061Asian 12% in 2061Black 6% in 2061Mixed 12% in 2061Other 6% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Basingstoke and Deane

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
88%
2021
82%
2031proj
77%
2041proj
71%
9%
9%
2051proj
64%
9%
10%
2061proj
55%
10%
12%
12%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Basingstoke and Deane ranges from54.6% to 68.3%by 2051. That is a 13.7pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 60.0% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.6% (2021) → 4.2% (2051). Christian 48.1% → 10.7%.

Religion: Basingstoke and Deane

020395979%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 74% in 2051Muslim 4% in 2051Hindu 8% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHindu

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

14.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.41). 92.9% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Basingstoke and Deane

1030507090%Census 2021UK-born 55% in 2051Foreign-born 45% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.5% moved within UK, 0.9% arrived from abroad
black15.2% internal, 3.5% international
asian13.4% internal, 5.2% international
white other13.9% internal, 2.8% international
other11.4% internal, 5.3% international
mixed12.4% internal, 1.8% international
white british8.6% internal, 0.3% international

Why Basingstoke and Deane is changing

-6.4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.7pp
Local migration
+0.6pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Basingstoke and Deane on UK Demographics →