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Blaenau Gwent

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Nick Smith
Nick SmithLabour · Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney
42 people on asylum support in Blaenau Gwent

Rank 237 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 6.21 per 10,000 puts Blaenau Gwent in the 49th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 42 people at £107 per person per day is about £1.6M a year.

What asylum costs Blaenau Gwent

£948Kestimated hotel costs/year
£107Ksubsistence payments/year
£50KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 42 people on asylum support in Blaenau Gwent(0.05% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Blaenau Gwent: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

42
4228140Jun 2023Dec 2025Peak Dec 2025Bibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 202328
Sept 202329
Dec 202320
Mar 202435
Jun 202433
Sept 202440
Dec 202436
Mar 202533
Jun 202538
Sept 202538
Dec 202542

Trend

+4Latest quarter change
+14Change across series
11Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation41
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
42
Homes for Ukraine
41
Afghan programme
11
Resettlement cumulative
20

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine41
Afghan programme11
Resettlement cumulative20

Population context

All pathways total94
Share of local population0.14%

Ethnic composition projection

Blaenau Gwent: White British 95.7% (2021) to 81.2% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Blaenau Gwent

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021White British 81% in 2051White Other 6% in 2051Asian 6% in 205120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsian

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Blaenau Gwent

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
97%
2021
96%
2026proj
94%
2031proj
92%
2036proj
89%
2041proj
87%
2046proj
84%
2051proj
81%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 0.5% (2021) → 1.1% (2051). Christian 38.7% → 8.7%.

Religion: Blaenau Gwent

426497194%Census 2021Christian 9% in 2051No religion 89% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

3.2% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.13). 98.1% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Blaenau Gwent

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 87% in 2051Foreign-born 13% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Why Blaenau Gwent is changing

-1.7pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.4pp
Local migration
+6.1pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Blaenau Gwent on UK Demographics →