asylumstatsFollow the money
East Midlands

Bolsover

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Natalie Fleet
Natalie FleetLabour · Bolsover
138 people on asylum support in Bolsover

Rank 162 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 16.35 per 10,000 puts Bolsover in the 74th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. Accommodation and support for 138 people at £107 per person per day is about £5.4M a year.

What asylum costs Bolsover

£3.1Mestimated hotel costs/year
£353Ksubsistence payments/year
£166KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 138 people on asylum support in Bolsover(0.15% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Bolsover: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

130
13489450Sept 2016Dec 2025Peak Jun 2025Rwanda schemeBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Sept 20162
Dec 20162
Mar 20172
Jun 20172
Sept 20172
Dec 20172
Mar 20182
Jun 20182
Sept 20183
Dec 20183
Mar 20193
Jun 20193
Dec 20193
Mar 20221
Jun 20221
Sept 20221
Jun 20234
Sept 202316
Dec 202322
Mar 202422
Jun 202432
Sept 202457
Dec 202486
Mar 2025112
Jun 2025134
Sept 2025134
Dec 2025130

Trend

-4Latest quarter change
+128Change across series
27Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation138
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
138
Homes for Ukraine
149
Afghan programme
0
Resettlement cumulative
20

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine149
Afghan programme0
Resettlement cumulative20

Population context

All pathways total287
Share of local population0.34%

Ethnic composition projection

Bolsover: White British 93.3% (2021) to 85.2% (2051). 80% CI: 84.4, 87.4%.

Ethnic composition: Bolsover

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 81% in 2061White Other 11% in 2061Mixed 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Bolsover

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
93%
2031proj
91%
2041proj
89%
2051proj
85%
9%
2061proj
81%
11%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Bolsover ranges from48.1% to 74.6%by 2051. That is a 26.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 56.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.3% (2021) → 0.5% (2051). Christian 51.0% → 8.5%.

Religion: Bolsover

326497295%Census 2021Christian 8% in 2051No religion 90% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

5.7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.18). 96.3% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Bolsover

125507599%Census 2021UK-born 67% in 2051Foreign-born 33% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8% moved within UK, 0.3% arrived from abroad
black19.3% internal, 4% international
other12.4% internal, 7.4% international
white other15.3% internal, 3.7% international
asian12.9% internal, 2.1% international
mixed12.1% internal, 1.5% international
white british7.6% internal, 0.1% international

Why Bolsover is changing

-3pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+4.6pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Bolsover on UK Demographics →