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South East

Bracknell Forest

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Peter Swallow
Peter SwallowLabour · Bracknell

7 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Bracknell Forest.

12 people on asylum support in Bracknell Forest

Rank 299 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.91 per 10,000 puts Bracknell Forest in the 17th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 12 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.5M a year.

What asylum costs Bracknell Forest

£271Kestimated hotel costs/year
£31Ksubsistence payments/year
£14KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 12 people on asylum support in Bracknell Forest(0.01% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Bracknell Forest: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

10
171160Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Mar 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20143
Jun 20143
Sept 20143
Dec 20143
Mar 20153
Jun 20153
Sept 20155
Dec 20155
Mar 20165
Jun 20164
Sept 20164
Dec 20164
Mar 20174
Jun 20174
Sept 20174
Mar 20201
Jun 20201
Sept 20205
Dec 20205
Mar 20215
Jun 20215
Sept 20218
Dec 20214
Mar 20225
Jun 20225
Sept 20225
Dec 20225
Mar 20235
Jun 20239
Sept 20238
Dec 20235
Mar 20245
Jun 20246
Sept 20246
Dec 20246
Mar 202517
Jun 202517
Sept 202513
Dec 202510

Trend

-3Latest quarter change
+7Change across series
39Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation11
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
12
Homes for Ukraine
353
Afghan programme
89
Resettlement cumulative
9

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine353
Afghan programme89
Resettlement cumulative9

Population context

All pathways total454
Share of local population0.34%

Ethnic composition projection

Bracknell Forest: White British 77.8% (2021) to 58.7% (2051). 80% CI: 58.1, 63.3%.

Ethnic composition: Bracknell Forest

022456790% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 51% in 2061White Other 13% in 2061Asian 13% in 2061Black 4% in 2061Mixed 14% in 2061Other 6% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Bracknell Forest

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
85%
2021
78%
8%
2031proj
73%
10%
8%
2041proj
66%
11%
10%
2051proj
59%
12%
12%
10%
2061proj
51%
13%
13%
14%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Bracknell Forest ranges from47.0% to 62.9%by 2051. That is a 15.9pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 52.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.9% (2021) → 4.2% (2051). Christian 50.3% → 14.1%.

Religion: Bracknell Forest

019385776%Census 2021Christian 14% in 2051No religion 71% in 2051Muslim 4% in 2051Hindu 4% in 2051Sikh 4% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHinduSikh

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

17.4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.47). 92.3% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Bracknell Forest

1231506988%Census 2021UK-born 37% in 2051Foreign-born 63% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 10.2% moved within UK, 0.9% arrived from abroad
other14.6% internal, 3.6% international
white other14.9% internal, 3.1% international
asian13.9% internal, 3.3% international
black13.6% internal, 2.5% international
mixed13.7% internal, 1% international
white british9% internal, 0.3% international

Why Bracknell Forest is changing

-7.1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.4pp
Local migration
-0.3pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Bracknell Forest on UK Demographics →