Trend
+17Latest quarter change
+23Change across series
31Official data points
Breckland
56 people on asylum support in Breckland
Rank 225 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 3.78 per 10,000 puts Breckland in the 38th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 56 people at £107 per person per day is about £2.2M a year.
What asylum costs Breckland
£1.3Mestimated hotel costs/year
£143Ksubsistence payments/year
£67KLA dispersal grant/year
Estimates based on 56 people on asylum support in Breckland(0.06% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.
Breckland: asylum numbers still rising
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Exact values
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Mar 2014 | 1 |
| Jun 2014 | 1 |
| Sept 2014 | 1 |
| Dec 2014 | 1 |
| Mar 2015 | 1 |
| Jun 2015 | 1 |
| Sept 2015 | 1 |
| Dec 2015 | 1 |
| Dec 2017 | 1 |
| Mar 2018 | 1 |
| Jun 2018 | 1 |
| Sept 2018 | 1 |
| Dec 2018 | 1 |
| Mar 2019 | 1 |
| Jun 2019 | 1 |
| Jun 2020 | 1 |
| Sept 2020 | 2 |
| Dec 2020 | 2 |
| Mar 2021 | 2 |
| Jun 2021 | 2 |
| Sept 2021 | 1 |
| Dec 2021 | 1 |
| Mar 2022 | 1 |
| Jun 2022 | 1 |
| Sept 2022 | 1 |
| Dec 2022 | 2 |
| Mar 2023 | 2 |
| Jun 2023 | 1 |
| Sept 2023 | 1 |
| Sept 2025 | 7 |
| Dec 2025 | 24 |
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation55
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine368
Afghan programme121
Resettlement cumulative0
Population context
All pathways total545
Share of local population0.37%
Ethnic composition projection
Breckland: White British 88.7% (2021) to 80.5% (2051). 80% CI: 79.7, 83.1%.
Ethnic composition: Breckland
White BritishWhite OtherMixedOther 80% CI
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Breckland
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Breckland ranges from53.7% to 73.0%by 2051. That is a 19.4pp spread.
Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 60.7% by 2051
Religion projection
Muslim 0.5% (2021) → 0.8% (2051). Christian 53.3% → 13.5%.
Religion: Breckland
ChristianNo religion
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
10.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.26). 93.7% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Breckland
UK-bornForeign-born
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Census 2021 mobility: 9% moved within UK, 0.6% arrived from abroad
black13.7% internal, 5.5% international
other13.6% internal, 4.3% international
asian13% internal, 3.9% international
mixed13% internal, 1.9% international
white other10.8% internal, 2.9% international
white british8.6% internal, 0.3% international
Why Breckland is changing
-2.5ppWhite British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Breckland on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British56.2%
Mixed65.2%
White Other78.3%
Other75.1%
Homeownership rate
White British70.7%
Mixed43.2%
White Other34.2%
Other30.7%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British22.7%
Mixed27.1%
White Other26.3%
Other26.8%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
56National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
3.78Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in East of England by supported asylum.