Wales

Bridgend

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Chris Elmore
Chris ElmoreLabour · Bridgend
41 people on asylum support in Bridgend

Rank 241 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 2.79 per 10,000 puts Bridgend in the 32nd percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 41 people at £107 per person per day is about £1.6M a year.

What asylum costs Bridgend

£926Kestimated hotel costs/year
£105Ksubsistence payments/year
£49KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 41 people on asylum support in Bridgend(0.04% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Bridgend: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

41
5436180Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20144
Jun 20146
Sept 20147
Dec 20147
Mar 20157
Jun 20154
Sept 20154
Dec 20154
Mar 20164
Jun 20164
Sept 20164
Dec 20164
Mar 20174
Jun 20174
Sept 20174
Dec 20174
Mar 20184
Sept 20214
Dec 20214
Mar 20224
Jun 20224
Sept 20224
Dec 20224
Mar 20234
Mar 202411
Jun 202416
Sept 202424
Dec 202419
Mar 202536
Jun 202544
Sept 202554
Dec 202541

Trend

-13Latest quarter change
+37Change across series
32Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation40
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
41
Homes for Ukraine
237
Afghan programme
31
Resettlement cumulative
54

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine237
Afghan programme31
Resettlement cumulative54

Population context

All pathways total309
Share of local population0.21%

Ethnic composition projection

Bridgend: White British 94.7% (2021) to 80.1% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Bridgend

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021White British 80% in 2051White Other 6% in 2051Asian 6% in 2051Mixed 3% in 205120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixed

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Bridgend

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
95%
2026proj
93%
2031proj
91%
2036proj
88%
2041proj
86%
2046proj
83%
2051proj
80%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 0.6% (2021) → 0.9% (2051). Christian 42.8% → 9.3%.

Religion: Bridgend

427497193%Census 2021Christian 9% in 2051No religion 88% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

4.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.16). 98.2% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Bridgend

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 83% in 2051Foreign-born 17% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Why Bridgend is changing

-1.3pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+6.3pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).