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South East

Brighton and Hove

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Chris Ward
Chris WardLabour · Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven

3 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Brighton and Hove.

188 people on asylum support in Brighton and Hove

Rank 140 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 6.62 per 10,000 puts Brighton and Hove in the 52nd percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2057. 36 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 70 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 188 people at £107 per person per day is about £7.3M a year.

What asylum costs Brighton and Hove

£4.2Mestimated hotel costs/year
£481Ksubsistence payments/year
£226KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 188 people on asylum support in Brighton and Hove(0.20% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Brighton and Hove: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

101
250167830Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 201418
Jun 201420
Sept 201418
Dec 201431
Mar 201514
Jun 201522
Sept 201517
Dec 201519
Mar 201619
Jun 201616
Sept 201617
Dec 201619
Mar 201716
Jun 201714
Sept 201721
Dec 201731
Mar 201831
Jun 201825
Sept 201825
Dec 201815
Mar 201921
Jun 201922
Sept 201928
Dec 201946
Mar 202053
Jun 202063
Sept 202067
Dec 202068
Mar 202190
Jun 202189
Sept 202195
Dec 202174
Mar 202280
Jun 2022116
Sept 202296
Dec 2022240
Mar 2023233
Jun 2023236
Sept 2023250
Dec 2023115
Mar 2024153
Jun 2024134
Sept 2024122
Dec 2024157
Mar 2025170
Jun 2025150
Sept 2025175
Dec 2025101

Trend

-74Latest quarter change
+83Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation82
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only36
Contingency accommodation70

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
188
Homes for Ukraine
681
Afghan programme
216
Resettlement cumulative
88

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine681
Afghan programme216
Resettlement cumulative88

Population context

All pathways total1,085
Share of local population0.38%

Ethnic composition projection

Brighton and Hove: White British 73.9% (2021) to 54.6% (2051). White British minority by ~2057. 80% CI: 52, 59.6%.

Ethnic composition: Brighton and Hove

021436485% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 47% in 2061White Other 15% in 2061Asian 6% in 2061Black 3% in 2061Mixed 12% in 2061Other 17% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Brighton and Hove

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
80%
9%
2021
74%
11%
2031proj
69%
13%
2041proj
62%
14%
2051proj
55%
15%
10%
12%
2061proj
47%
15%
12%
17%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Brighton and Hove ranges from53.0% to 61.3%by 2051. That is a 8.3pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 56.4% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 3.3% (2021) → 5.5% (2051). Christian 33.3% → 7.9%.

Religion: Brighton and Hove

022446689%Census 2021Christian 8% in 2051No religion 84% in 2051Muslim 5% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

19.6% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.53). 90.9% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Brighton and Hove

1532506885%Census 2021UK-born 47% in 2051Foreign-born 53% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 15.3% moved within UK, 1.5% arrived from abroad
black21.1% internal, 4.3% international
white other19.4% internal, 4.2% international
asian17.3% internal, 5.5% international
mixed19.8% internal, 2.2% international
other15.7% internal, 4.5% international
white british14.1% internal, 0.6% international

Why Brighton and Hove is changing

-6.5pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
0pp
Local migration
-0.1pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Brighton and Hove on UK Demographics →