West Midlands

Bromsgrove

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Bradley Thomas
Bradley ThomasConservative · Bromsgrove
4 people on asylum support in Bromsgrove

Rank 326 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.39 per 10,000 puts Bromsgrove in the 11th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 4 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.2M a year.

What asylum costs Bromsgrove

£90Kestimated hotel costs/year
£10Ksubsistence payments/year
£5KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 4 people on asylum support in Bromsgrove(0.00% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Bromsgrove: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

6
8859290Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Jun 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby Stockholm
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20142
Jun 20142
Sept 20142
Dec 20142
Mar 20151
Jun 20151
Sept 20151
Dec 20151
Mar 20161
Jun 20161
Sept 20161
Dec 20161
Mar 20171
Jun 20171
Sept 20171
Dec 20171
Mar 20181
Jun 202019
Sept 202027
Dec 202020
Mar 202115
Jun 202115
Sept 202110
Dec 20217
Mar 20225
Jun 20224
Sept 20223
Dec 202284
Mar 202387
Jun 202388
Sept 202374
Mar 20253
Jun 20252
Sept 20259
Dec 20256

Trend

-3Latest quarter change
+4Change across series
35Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation3
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
4
Homes for Ukraine
183
Afghan programme
20
Resettlement cumulative
20

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine183
Afghan programme20
Resettlement cumulative20

Population context

All pathways total207
Share of local population0.2%

Ethnic composition projection

Bromsgrove: White British 90.4% (2021) to 80.9% (2051). 80% CI: 80.7, 83.4%.

Ethnic composition: Bromsgrove

025497499% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 75% in 2061White Other 3% in 2061Asian 6% in 2061Mixed 11% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Bromsgrove

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
94%
2021
90%
2031proj
88%
2041proj
85%
2051proj
81%
2061proj
75%
11%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Bromsgrove ranges from49.5% to 73.4%by 2051. That is a 23.9pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 57.8% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.9% (2021) → 1.6% (2051). Christian 56.7% → 11.2%.

Religion: Bromsgrove

626476787%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 82% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

4.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.25). 98.5% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Bromsgrove

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 71% in 2051Foreign-born 29% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.7% moved within UK, 0.3% arrived from abroad
black15.7% internal, 2.1% international
white other9.7% internal, 3.1% international
asian10.8% internal, 1.6% international
mixed10.8% internal, 0.5% international
other7.3% internal, 2.1% international
white british7.4% internal, 0.2% international

Why Bromsgrove is changing

-3.2pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.1pp
Local migration
+4.3pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).