Rank 221 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 3.16 per 10,000 puts Carmarthenshire in the 35th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 7 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 60 people at £107 per person per day is about £2.3M a year.
Estimates based on 60 people on asylum support in Carmarthenshire(0.06% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.
60 people were receiving Home Office asylum support in Carmarthenshire at 30 June 2026, the most recent quarter published. That ranks 221st of 361 UK local authorities. It counts people on support at that date, which is not the number who claimed asylum there and not the number waiting for a decision.
3.16 per 10,000 residents, which places Carmarthenshire in the 35th percentile of UK local authorities. It carries fewer per head than 65% of the country. Rate is the fair comparison between areas, because a large city carries more people than a small district at the same pressure per head.
Not on the published figures. Carmarthenshire recorded nobody in contingency accommodation at 30 June 2026, which is the category that includes hotels. The 60 people on asylum support there are recorded in dispersal housing or on subsistence-only support.
Clearsprings Ready Homes holds the Home Office asylum accommodation contract for the region Carmarthenshire sits in, under the Asylum Accommodation and Support Contracts. The contract covers a whole region rather than a single council, and the Home Office does not publish a council-by-council split of which properties sit under it.
No. 7 of the 60 on support in Carmarthenshire, about 12%, receive subsistence only: a cash payment with no accommodation, usually because they are living with friends or family. The rest are in Home Office accommodation, which covers dispersal housing and hotels.
Quarter-end stock series to Jun 2026. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Mar 2014 | 2 |
| Jun 2014 | 2 |
| Sept 2014 | 2 |
| Dec 2014 | 1 |
| Mar 2015 | 1 |
| Jun 2022 | 1 |
| Jun 2023 | 11 |
| Sept 2023 | 15 |
| Dec 2023 | 18 |
| Mar 2024 | 25 |
| Jun 2024 | 30 |
| Sept 2024 | 38 |
| Dec 2024 | 37 |
| Mar 2025 | 41 |
| Jun 2025 | 39 |
| Sept 2025 | 39 |
| Dec 2025 | 58 |
| Mar 2026 | 58 |
| Jun 2026 | 60 |
Carmarthenshire: White British 94.0% (2021) to 78.2% (2051). On the model's measured out-of-sample error, 75.5 to 80.9%.
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Muslim 0.6% (2021) → 1.2% (2051). Christian 50.7% → 11.6%.
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
5.1% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.17). 97.6% main language English.
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
2.4% of residents aged 3 and over have a main language other than English (Census 2021, TS029), below the 15% line this site uses to flag language demand.
foreign-born growth to 2051
The foreign-born share is projected to rise by 14.7pp between 2021 and 2051 (Census 2021 TS004 country of birth, projected by the Hamilton-Perry method), below the 15pp line this site uses to flag housing demand.
EAL growth
No DfE School Census data for this area, so the gap between the minority pupil share and the minority resident share is not measured here.
National distribution.
Per 10,000 residents.
Hotel and contingency placements.
Top 6 in Wales by supported asylum.