Trend
+10Latest quarter change
+21Change across series
37Official data points
Castle Point
Rebecca Harris
25 people on asylum support in Castle Point
Rank 264 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 2.76 per 10,000 puts Castle Point in the 31st percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 3 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 25 people at £107 per person per day is about £1.0M a year.
What asylum costs Castle Point
£564Kestimated hotel costs/year
£64Ksubsistence payments/year
£30KLA dispersal grant/year
Estimates based on 25 people on asylum support in Castle Point(0.03% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.
Castle Point: asylum numbers still rising
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Exact values
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Mar 2014 | 4 |
| Jun 2014 | 4 |
| Sept 2014 | 4 |
| Dec 2014 | 4 |
| Mar 2015 | 4 |
| Jun 2015 | 4 |
| Sept 2015 | 4 |
| Dec 2015 | 4 |
| Mar 2016 | 4 |
| Jun 2016 | 4 |
| Sept 2016 | 4 |
| Dec 2016 | 4 |
| Mar 2017 | 4 |
| Jun 2017 | 3 |
| Sept 2017 | 3 |
| Dec 2017 | 3 |
| Mar 2018 | 3 |
| Mar 2021 | 2 |
| Jun 2021 | 9 |
| Sept 2021 | 9 |
| Dec 2021 | 9 |
| Mar 2022 | 8 |
| Jun 2022 | 11 |
| Sept 2022 | 8 |
| Dec 2022 | 8 |
| Mar 2023 | 8 |
| Jun 2023 | 5 |
| Sept 2023 | 5 |
| Dec 2023 | 4 |
| Mar 2024 | 3 |
| Jun 2024 | 3 |
| Sept 2024 | 4 |
| Dec 2024 | 4 |
| Mar 2025 | 9 |
| Jun 2025 | 10 |
| Sept 2025 | 15 |
| Dec 2025 | 25 |
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation22
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only3
Contingency accommodation0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine88
Afghan programme0
Resettlement cumulative0
Population context
All pathways total113
Share of local population0.12%
Ethnic composition projection
Castle Point: White British 92.7% (2021) to 83.1% (2051). 80% CI: 82.7, 85.5%.
Ethnic composition: Castle Point
White BritishWhite OtherBlackMixedOther 80% CI
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Castle Point
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Castle Point ranges from48.6% to 74.5%by 2051. That is a 25.9pp spread.
Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 57.3% by 2051
Religion projection
Muslim 0.8% (2021) → 2.1% (2051). Christian 51.2% → 9.7%.
Religion: Castle Point
ChristianNo religion
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
4.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.21). 98.3% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Castle Point
UK-bornForeign-born
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Census 2021 mobility: 7.1% moved within UK, 0.2% arrived from abroad
white other11.7% internal, 1.3% international
black11.3% internal, 1% international
mixed11.4% internal, 0.6% international
asian10.4% internal, 1.3% international
other9.4% internal, 2.1% international
white british6.8% internal, 0.1% international
Why Castle Point is changing
-2.7ppWhite British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Castle Point on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British57.3%
Mixed69.3%
White Other64.8%
Other68.4%
Homeownership rate
White British80.9%
Mixed68.6%
White Other70.3%
Other59%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British18%
Mixed25.5%
White Other32.7%
Other32.8%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
25National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
2.76Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in East of England by supported asylum.