Trend
+0Latest quarter change
+0Change across series
2Official data points
Ceredigion
Ben Lake
0 people on asylum support in Ceredigion
Rank 348 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0 per 10,000 puts Ceredigion in the 4th percentile. That means fewer than most areas.
Ceredigion: asylum numbers holding steady
Quarter-end stock series to Mar 2019. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Exact values
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Dec 2018 | 1 |
| Mar 2019 | 1 |
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation0
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine166
Afghan programme11
Resettlement cumulative77
Population context
All pathways total177
Share of local population0.24%
Ethnic composition projection
Ceredigion: White British 91.9% (2021) to 74.0% (2051).
Ethnic composition: Ceredigion
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixed
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Ceredigion
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 0.8% (2021) → 0.6% (2051). Christian 50.6% → 16.8%.
Religion: Ceredigion
ChristianNo religion
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
7.1% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.22). 97.1% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Ceredigion
UK-bornForeign-born
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Ceredigion is changing
-1.2ppWhite British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Ceredigion on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British51.5%
Mixed50.2%
White Other62.4%
Other56.9%
Homeownership rate
White British70.3%
Mixed41.7%
White Other40.7%
Other33%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British34.8%
Mixed35.6%
White Other44%
Other42%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
0National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
0Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in Wales by supported asylum.