Trend
-32 Latest quarter change
+235 Change across series
39 Official data points
Charnwood
238 on asylum support. Rank 128 nationally, 6 in East Midlands. Rate: 12.63 per 10,000 (61st percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
Summary
Charnwood has 238 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 128 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 12.63 per 10,000 residents places it around the 61st percentile. 151 are in contingency accommodation (63.4% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Charnwood
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 85
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 2
Contingency accommodation 151
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 231
Afghan programme 75
Resettlement cumulative 34
Population context
All pathways total 544
Share of local population 0.29%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Charnwood: WBI 77.9% (2021) → 50.5% (2051). White British minority by ~2051. 80% CI: 48.3–55.4%.
Ethnic composition — Charnwood
White British White Other Asian Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 3.3% (2021) → 4.5% (2051). Christian 44.1% → 11.1%.
Religion — Charnwood
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu
Nativity
13.1% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.45). 93.3% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Charnwood
UK-born Foreign-born
emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Charnwood is changing
-6.3ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 57.8%
Mixed 57.3%
White Other 66.9%
Other 56.8%
Homeownership rate
White British 72.4%
Mixed 45.5%
White Other 48.2%
Other 54.8%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 31.9%
Mixed 32.6%
White Other 43.1%
Other 45.9%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
238 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
12.63 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
151 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in East Midlands by supported asylum.