asylumstatsFollow the money
East Midlands

Chesterfield

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Mr Toby Perkins
Mr Toby PerkinsLabour · Chesterfield
49 people on asylum support in Chesterfield

Rank 230 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 4.6 per 10,000 puts Chesterfield in the 42nd percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 5 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 49 people at £107 per person per day is about £1.9M a year.

What asylum costs Chesterfield

£1.1Mestimated hotel costs/year
£125Ksubsistence payments/year
£59KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 49 people on asylum support in Chesterfield(0.05% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Chesterfield: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

79
10167340Jun 2015Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20151
Sept 20151
Sept 20161
Sept 20171
Dec 20171
Mar 20182
Jun 20183
Sept 20186
Dec 20186
Mar 20194
Jun 20192
Sept 20195
Dec 20195
Mar 20205
Jun 20205
Sept 20205
Dec 20205
Mar 20215
Jun 20215
Sept 20215
Dec 20215
Mar 20225
Jun 20225
Sept 202214
Dec 2022100
Mar 202398
Jun 202389
Sept 2023101
Dec 202354
Mar 202470
Jun 202422
Sept 202485
Dec 202489
Mar 202564
Jun 202580
Sept 202592
Dec 202579

Trend

-13Latest quarter change
+78Change across series
37Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation43
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation5

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
49
Homes for Ukraine
128
Afghan programme
17
Resettlement cumulative
21

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine128
Afghan programme17
Resettlement cumulative21

Population context

All pathways total194
Share of local population0.18%

Ethnic composition projection

Chesterfield: White British 93.0% (2021) to 85.5% (2051). 80% CI: 85.2, 87.9%.

Ethnic composition: Chesterfield

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 81% in 2061White Other 4% in 2061Asian 4% in 2061Mixed 7% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Chesterfield

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
95%
2021
93%
2031proj
91%
2041proj
89%
2051proj
86%
2061proj
81%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Chesterfield ranges from52.9% to 77.3%by 2051. That is a 24.3pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 61.4% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.0% (2021) → 1.2% (2051). Christian 50.5% → 9.1%.

Religion: Chesterfield

426497193%Census 2021Christian 9% in 2051No religion 88% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

4.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.2). 97.8% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Chesterfield

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 71% in 2051Foreign-born 29% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.6% moved within UK, 0.3% arrived from abroad
black16% internal, 4.4% international
asian9.8% internal, 4.6% international
white other11.8% internal, 2.5% international
other10.8% internal, 1.2% international
mixed10.9% internal, 0.5% international
white british7.3% internal, 0.1% international

Why Chesterfield is changing

-1.8pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+5.8pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Chesterfield on UK Demographics →