asylumstatsFollow the money
South East

Chichester

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Jess Brown-Fuller
Jess Brown-FullerLiberal Democrats · Chichester
86 people on asylum support in Chichester

Rank 186 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 6.6 per 10,000 puts Chichester in the 51st percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 62 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 86 people at £107 per person per day is about £3.4M a year.

What asylum costs Chichester

£1.9Mestimated hotel costs/year
£220Ksubsistence payments/year
£103KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 86 people on asylum support in Chichester(0.09% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Chichester: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

179
238159790Sept 2018Dec 2025Peak Dec 2024Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Sept 20183
Dec 20185
Mar 20195
Jun 20195
Sept 201914
Dec 201914
Mar 202014
Jun 202014
Sept 202014
Dec 202014
Mar 202114
Jun 202121
Sept 202121
Dec 202110
Mar 202210
Jun 202211
Sept 202215
Dec 202220
Mar 202322
Jun 202326
Sept 2023135
Dec 2023223
Mar 2024141
Jun 2024174
Sept 2024192
Dec 2024238
Mar 2025194
Jun 2025199
Sept 2025230
Dec 2025179

Trend

-51Latest quarter change
+176Change across series
30Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation23
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation62

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
86
Homes for Ukraine
673
Afghan programme
241
Resettlement cumulative
43

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine673
Afghan programme241
Resettlement cumulative43

Population context

All pathways total1,000
Share of local population0.77%

Ethnic composition projection

Chichester: White British 90.1% (2021) to 82.5% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Chichester

025497498% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 79% in 2061White Other 8% in 2061Mixed 7% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Chichester

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
93%
2021
90%
2031proj
88%
2041proj
86%
2051proj
83%
2061proj
79%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Chichester ranges from52.1% to 73.8%by 2051. That is a 21.7pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 59.8% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.6% (2021) → 1.0% (2051). Christian 56.6% → 15.1%.

Religion: Chichester

1029496888%Census 2021Christian 15% in 2051No religion 83% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

10.1% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.25). 96.7% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Chichester

528507295%Census 2021UK-born 53% in 2051Foreign-born 47% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 11.1% moved within UK, 0.7% arrived from abroad
asian15.4% internal, 5% international
black16.1% internal, 4.1% international
mixed15.6% internal, 2.1% international
white other14.5% internal, 3% international
other13% internal, 3.3% international
white british10.7% internal, 0.4% international

Why Chichester is changing

-2.9pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1pp
Local migration
+4.5pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Chichester on UK Demographics →