asylumstatsFollow the money
Wales

Conwy

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Claire Hughes
Claire HughesLabour · Bangor Aberconwy
22 people on asylum support in Conwy

Rank 274 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 1.92 per 10,000 puts Conwy in the 26th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 2 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 22 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.9M a year.

What asylum costs Conwy

£497Kestimated hotel costs/year
£56Ksubsistence payments/year
£26KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 22 people on asylum support in Conwy(0.02% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Conwy: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

20
211470Dec 2016Dec 2025Peak Mar 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Dec 20161
Mar 20191
Mar 20206
Jun 20206
Sept 20206
Dec 20206
Mar 20216
Jun 20216
Sept 20216
Dec 20216
Mar 20226
Jun 20226
Sept 20226
Dec 20226
Jun 20237
Sept 20237
Dec 20237
Mar 20248
Jun 20247
Sept 20247
Dec 202417
Mar 202521
Jun 202521
Sept 202517
Dec 202520

Trend

+3Latest quarter change
+19Change across series
25Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation20
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only2
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
22
Homes for Ukraine
190
Afghan programme
7
Resettlement cumulative
17

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine190
Afghan programme7
Resettlement cumulative17

Population context

All pathways total219
Share of local population0.19%

Ethnic composition projection

Conwy: White British 94.1% (2021) to 77.9% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Conwy

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021White British 78% in 2051White Other 7% in 2051Asian 7% in 2051Mixed 3% in 205120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixed

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Conwy

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
95%
2021
94%
2026proj
92%
2031proj
90%
2036proj
87%
2041proj
84%
2046proj
81%
2051proj
78%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 0.8% (2021) → 1.2% (2051). Christian 54.3% → 13.1%.

Religion: Conwy

828496990%Census 2021Christian 13% in 2051No religion 85% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

5.2% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.17). 98.2% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Conwy

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 80% in 2051Foreign-born 20% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Why Conwy is changing

-1.3pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+6.3pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Conwy on UK Demographics →