2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Cotswold.
Rank 349 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0 per 10,000 puts Cotswold in the 4th percentile. That means fewer than 96% of areas.
None. Cotswold recorded nobody receiving Home Office asylum support at 30 June 2026, the most recent quarter published. Dozens of UK councils carry no supported asylum population at all, and the figure can move to and from zero between quarters as the Home Office moves people between areas.
Cotswold: White British 92.0% (2021) to 85.8% (2051). 80% CI: 85.5, 87.9%.
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Under different assumptions, White British share in Cotswold ranges from47.2% to 73.0%by 2051. That is a 25.8pp spread.
Muslim 0.3% (2021) → 0.3% (2051). Christian 59.3% → 16.1%.
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
8.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.21). 97.8% main language English.
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
2.2% of residents aged 3 and over have a main language other than English (Census 2021, TS029), below the 15% line this site uses to flag language demand.
foreign-born growth to 2051
The foreign-born share is projected to rise by 22.1pp between 2021 and 2051 (Census 2021 TS004 country of birth, projected by the Hamilton-Perry method), above the 15pp line this site uses to flag housing demand.
EAL growth
No DfE School Census data for this area, so the gap between the minority pupil share and the minority resident share is not measured here.
SEND for Cotswold pupils is run by Gloucestershire County Council. The figures below are the county's.
5.8% of pupils have an EHC plan, 2025/26 academic year. Five-year growth: +71.7% (65th percentile of councils).
DfE, Special educational needs in England, academic year 2025/26, published 11 June 2026, Explore Education Statistics: pupils in all schools by type of SEN provision, and pupils with an EHC plan by primary type of need. SEND is run by upper-tier councils, so district pages show their county. Figures count pupils on the January school census who have an EHC plan; plans held by children under school age, young people in further education and those not in school are not included. The autism figure is the share of pupils with an EHC plan whose primary need is autism, not a prevalence in the population. Rising numbers may reflect identification, diagnosis and parental awareness as well as need.
Adult social care for Cotswold residents is run by Gloucestershire County Council. The figures below are the county's.
£540 gross spend per resident aged 18 and over, 2024-25 (15th percentile of councils).
Department of Health and Social Care, Adult social care finance report, England: 2024 to 2025, Table 14; Department of Health and Social Care, Adult social care activity report, England: 2024 to 2025, Table 34; Office for National Statistics, Mid-Year Population Estimates, England and Wales, June 2025, for the per-head rates. Adult social care is run by upper tier councils (counties, unitaries, metropolitan districts and London boroughs), so a district shows its county's figures. Spend reflects age structure, deprivation and unpaid care, so differences between councils are not a measure of efficiency. Activity figures are official statistics in development.
Combined score across 4 domains: 26.6/100.
Each domain is converted to a percentile rank from 0 to 100 against every authority holding it, and the score is their unweighted mean. Asylum support: Home Office local authority data. Demographic change: Census 2011 and 2021. SEND and adult social care: DfE and DHSC figures for the council that runs the service. The four domains are weighted equally. It measures pressures on councils that occur together, not causes.
National distribution.
Per 10,000 residents.
Hotel and contingency placements.
Top 6 in South West by supported asylum.