Trend
-28 Latest quarter change
+1,264 Change across series
48 Official data points
Coventry
1,719 on asylum support. Rank 9 nationally, 2 in West Midlands. Rate: 46.58 per 10,000 (98th percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
Summary
Coventry has 1,719 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 9 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 46.58 per 10,000 residents places it around the 98th percentile. 147 are in contingency accommodation (8.6% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Coventry
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 1,448
Initial accommodation 70
Subsistence only 54
Contingency accommodation 147
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 719
Afghan programme 553
Resettlement cumulative 799
Population context
All pathways total 2,991
Share of local population 0.81%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Coventry: WBI 55.3% (2021) → 16.1% (2051). White British minority by ~2025. 80% CI: 15.5–19.8%.
Ethnic composition — Coventry
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 11.0% (2021) → 21.8% (2051). Christian 46.8% → 18.9%.
Religion — Coventry
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu Sikh
Nativity
27.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.73). 82.5% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Coventry
UK-born Foreign-born
established diversity: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Why Coventry is changing
-11.3ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 57.8%
Mixed 59.2%
White Other 70%
Other 55.5%
Homeownership rate
White British 61.8%
Mixed 32%
White Other 39.4%
Other 38.6%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 30%
Mixed 29.3%
White Other 34.5%
Other 33.8%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 60,774 pupils. 39.1% White British. Schools are 16.2pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 39.1%
Asian 24.5%
Black 16.3%
White Other 9.8%
Mixed 7.6%
Other 2.6%
What this means
Schools are 16pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
60.9% Minority pupils now
74.2% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
1,719 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
46.58 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
147 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 5 in West Midlands by supported asylum.