Trend
-2 Latest quarter change
+398 Change across series
47 Official data points
Crawley
403 on asylum support. Rank 90 nationally, 4 in South East. Rate: 32.5 per 10,000 (89th percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.
Summary
Crawley has 403 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 90 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 32.5 per 10,000 residents places it around the 89th percentile. 393 are in contingency accommodation (97.5% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Crawley
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 5
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 5
Contingency accommodation 393
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 328
Afghan programme 616
Resettlement cumulative 67
Population context
All pathways total 1,347
Share of local population 1.09%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Crawley: WBI 61.8% (2021) → 20.4% (2051). White British minority by ~2031. 80% CI: 20.8–25.9%.
Ethnic composition — Crawley
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 10.3% (2021) → 17.0% (2051). Christian 45.2% → 14.8%.
Religion — Crawley
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu
Nativity
26.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.67). 84.3% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Crawley
UK-born Foreign-born
established diversity: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Why Crawley is changing
-10.4ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 65.6%
Mixed 69.1%
White Other 83.1%
Other 66%
Homeownership rate
White British 60.4%
Mixed 36.5%
White Other 39.1%
Other 38.6%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 26.3%
Mixed 28.7%
White Other 34.4%
Other 30.6%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
403 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
32.5 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
393 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 5 in South East by supported asylum.