Trend
-81 Latest quarter change
+463 Change across series
45 Official data points
Dacorum
464 on asylum support. Rank 74 nationally, 4 in East of England. Rate: 28.74 per 10,000 (86th percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
Summary
Dacorum has 464 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 74 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 28.74 per 10,000 residents places it around the 86th percentile. 420 are in contingency accommodation (90.5% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Dacorum
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 41
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 3
Contingency accommodation 420
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 416
Afghan programme 71
Resettlement cumulative 34
Population context
All pathways total 951
Share of local population 0.59%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Dacorum: WBI 78.7% (2021) → 44.8% (2051). White British minority by ~2047. 80% CI: 41.3–47.2%.
Ethnic composition — Dacorum
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 3.3% (2021) → 6.5% (2051). Christian 49.4% → 15.7%.
Religion — Dacorum
Christian No religion Muslim
Nativity
14.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.46). 93.8% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Dacorum
UK-born Foreign-born
emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Dacorum is changing
-7.2ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 63.9%
Mixed 70.8%
White Other 77.3%
Other 67.6%
Homeownership rate
White British 66%
Mixed 53.7%
White Other 52.6%
Other 50.4%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 36.5%
Mixed 40.1%
White Other 48.5%
Other 51.3%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
464 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
28.74 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
420 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 5 in East of England by supported asylum.