Wales

Denbighshire

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
66 people on asylum support in Denbighshire

Rank 213 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 6.72 per 10,000 puts Denbighshire in the 52nd percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 4 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 66 people at £107 per person per day is about £2.6M a year.

What asylum costs Denbighshire

£1.5Mestimated hotel costs/year
£169Ksubsistence payments/year
£79KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 66 people on asylum support in Denbighshire(0.07% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Denbighshire: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

73
7349240Sept 2023Dec 2025Peak Dec 2025Bibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Sept 20238
Dec 20237
Mar 202412
Jun 202429
Sept 202438
Dec 202452
Mar 202552
Jun 202551
Sept 202561
Dec 202573

Trend

+12Latest quarter change
+65Change across series
10Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation62
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only4
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
66
Homes for Ukraine
164
Afghan programme
57
Resettlement cumulative
109

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine164
Afghan programme57
Resettlement cumulative109

Population context

All pathways total287
Share of local population0.29%

Ethnic composition projection

Denbighshire: White British 94.4% (2021) to 78.8% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Denbighshire

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021White British 79% in 2051White Other 6% in 2051Asian 7% in 2051Mixed 3% in 205120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixed

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Denbighshire

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
94%
2026proj
92%
2031proj
90%
2036proj
87%
2041proj
85%
2046proj
82%
2051proj
79%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 0.8% (2021) → 1.5% (2051). Christian 52.9% → 11.8%.

Religion: Denbighshire

728497091%Census 2021Christian 12% in 2051No religion 86% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

4.7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.16). 98.3% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Denbighshire

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 81% in 2051Foreign-born 19% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Why Denbighshire is changing

-1.1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+6.5pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).