Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation0
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0
Derbyshire Dales
John Whitby
0 people on asylum support in Derbyshire Dales
Rank 350 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0 per 10,000 puts Derbyshire Dales in the 4th percentile. That means fewer than most areas.
Local numbers
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine452
Afghan programme20
Resettlement cumulative64
Population context
All pathways total472
Share of local population0.66%
Ethnic composition projection
Derbyshire Dales: White British 95.5% (2021) to 68.9% (2051).
Ethnic composition: Derbyshire Dales
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Derbyshire Dales
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Derbyshire Dales ranges from43.1% to 73.2%by 2051. That is a 30.1pp spread.
Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 52.4% by 2051
Religion projection
Muslim 0.4% (2021) → 1.0% (2051). Christian 59.0% → 15.5%.
Religion: Derbyshire Dales
ChristianNo religion
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
3.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.14). 99.1% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Derbyshire Dales
UK-bornForeign-born
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Census 2021 mobility: 8.4% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
black22.9% internal, 1.2% international
asian16% internal, 4.6% international
mixed17.8% internal, 1.7% international
white other11% internal, 3.4% international
white british8.1% internal, 0.3% international
other5.4% internal, 1.1% international
Why Derbyshire Dales is changing
-1.3ppWhite British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Derbyshire Dales on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British56%
Mixed61.3%
White Other66.7%
Other60.4%
Homeownership rate
White British73.3%
Mixed58.5%
White Other63.5%
Other56.3%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British38.7%
Mixed47.8%
White Other56.6%
Other38.3%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
0National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
0Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in East Midlands by supported asylum.