asylumstatsFollow the money
South West

Dorset

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Vikki Slade
Vikki SladeLiberal Democrats · Mid Dorset and North Poole

4 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Dorset.

6 people on asylum support in Dorset

Rank 314 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.15 per 10,000 puts Dorset in the 7th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 3 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 6 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.2M a year.

What asylum costs Dorset

£135Kestimated hotel costs/year
£15Ksubsistence payments/year
£7KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 6 people on asylum support in Dorset(0.01% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Dorset: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

5
4022681340Mar 2018Dec 2025Peak Jun 2024Bibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20181
Jun 20181
Sept 20182
Sept 20235
Dec 2023297
Mar 2024187
Jun 2024402
Sept 2024297
Dec 20245
Mar 20259
Jun 20257
Sept 20252
Dec 20255

Trend

+3Latest quarter change
+4Change across series
13Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation3
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only3
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
6
Homes for Ukraine
1,134
Afghan programme
94
Resettlement cumulative
37

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine1,134
Afghan programme94
Resettlement cumulative37

Population context

All pathways total1,234
Share of local population0.32%

Ethnic composition projection

Dorset: White British 93.9% (2021) to 66.2% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Dorset

025497499% of populationCensus 2021White British 66% in 2051White Other 10% in 2051Asian 11% in 2051Black 6% in 2051Mixed 3% in 2051Other 4% in 20512021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Dorset

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2021
94%
2021
94%
2026proj
90%
2031proj
86%
2036proj
81%
2041proj
76%
2046proj
71%
9%
9%
2051proj
66%
10%
11%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Dorset ranges from73.5% to 85.7%by 2051. That is a 12.2pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 78.4% by 2051
Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Dorset on UK Demographics →