Trend
-9 Latest quarter change
+541 Change across series
48 Official data points
Dudley
713 on asylum support. Rank 40 nationally, 6 in West Midlands. Rate: 21.48 per 10,000 (79th percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
Summary
Dudley has 713 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 40 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 21.48 per 10,000 residents places it around the 79th percentile. 76 are in contingency accommodation (10.7% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Dudley
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 621
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 16
Contingency accommodation 76
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 157
Afghan programme 144
Resettlement cumulative 95
Population context
All pathways total 1,014
Share of local population 0.31%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Dudley: WBI 82.4% (2021) → 43.5% (2051). White British minority by ~2047. 80% CI: 46.1–52%.
Ethnic composition — Dudley
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 6.5% (2021) → 10.1% (2051). Christian 52.2% → 10.3%.
Religion — Dudley
Christian No religion Muslim
Nativity
7.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.39). 95.5% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Dudley
UK-born Foreign-born
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Dudley is changing
-6.1ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 58.4%
Mixed 68.3%
White Other 70.5%
Other 53.9%
Homeownership rate
White British 68.1%
Mixed 39.8%
White Other 44.7%
Other 44.2%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 24.6%
Mixed 28.1%
White Other 35.3%
Other 27.9%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 47,488 pupils. 69.6% White British. Schools are 12.8pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 69.6%
Asian 12%
Mixed 8.7%
Black 4.6%
White Other 2.9%
Other 2.2%
What this means
Schools are 13pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
30.4% Minority pupils now
45.8% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
713 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
21.48 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
76 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in West Midlands by supported asylum.