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East of England

East Cambridgeshire

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Charlotte Cane
Charlotte CaneLiberal Democrats · Ely and East Cambridgeshire

5 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping East Cambridgeshire.

20 people on asylum support in East Cambridgeshire

Rank 281 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 2.11 per 10,000 puts East Cambridgeshire in the 27th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. Accommodation and support for 20 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.8M a year.

What asylum costs East Cambridgeshire

£452Kestimated hotel costs/year
£51Ksubsistence payments/year
£24KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 20 people on asylum support in East Cambridgeshire(0.02% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

East Cambridgeshire: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

3
4310Dec 2020Dec 2025Peak Jun 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania deal
Exact values
PeriodValue
Dec 20202
Mar 20212
Jun 20212
Sept 20212
Dec 20212
Mar 20222
Jun 20222
Sept 20222
Dec 20222
Mar 20232
Jun 20232
Mar 20252
Jun 20254
Sept 20253
Dec 20253

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
+1Change across series
15Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation20
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
20
Homes for Ukraine
364
Afghan programme
0
Resettlement cumulative
0

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine364
Afghan programme0
Resettlement cumulative0

Population context

All pathways total384
Share of local population0.41%

Ethnic composition projection

East Cambridgeshire: White British 86.5% (2021) to 75.0% (2051). 80% CI: 75, 78.7%.

Ethnic composition: East Cambridgeshire

024477195% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 69% in 2061White Other 13% in 2061Mixed 12% in 2061Other 3% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: East Cambridgeshire

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
90%
2021
86%
2031proj
84%
9%
2041proj
80%
10%
2051proj
75%
12%
2061proj
69%
13%
12%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in East Cambridgeshire ranges from44.8% to 67.4%by 2051. That is a 22.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 52.5% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.7% (2021) → 1.0% (2051). Christian 51.8% → 12.5%.

Religion: East Cambridgeshire

828486989%Census 2021Christian 13% in 2051No religion 84% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

11.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.31). 95.1% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: East Cambridgeshire

728507293%Census 2021UK-born 48% in 2051Foreign-born 52% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.5% moved within UK, 0.7% arrived from abroad
black17.2% internal, 4.3% international
other14.4% internal, 3.5% international
white other12.7% internal, 3.4% international
asian12% internal, 3% international
mixed11% internal, 2% international
white british7.8% internal, 0.3% international

Why East Cambridgeshire is changing

-3.2pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.8pp
Local migration
+3.9pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View East Cambridgeshire on UK Demographics →