Trend
-45 Latest quarter change
+223 Change across series
27 Official data points
East Devon
224 on asylum support. Rank 135 nationally, 7 in South West. Rate: 14.16 per 10,000 (67th percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.
Summary
East Devon has 224 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 135 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 14.16 per 10,000 residents places it around the 67th percentile. 224 are in contingency accommodation (100% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in East Devon
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 0
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 0
Contingency accommodation 224
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 477
Afghan programme 63
Resettlement cumulative 32
Population context
All pathways total 764
Share of local population 0.48%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
East Devon: WBI 94.2% (2021) → 86.5% (2051). 80% CI: 85.4–88.1%.
Ethnic composition — East Devon
White British White Other Mixed 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 0.4% (2021) → 1.2% (2051). Christian 53.6% → 10.0%.
Religion — East Devon
Christian No religion
Nativity
6.2% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.17). 98.1% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — East Devon
UK-born Foreign-born
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why East Devon is changing
-2ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 53.7%
Mixed 65%
White Other 68.7%
Other 61.8%
Homeownership rate
White British 74.2%
Mixed 60.8%
White Other 59.2%
Other 51.5%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 33.2%
Mixed 39.3%
White Other 49.7%
Other 41%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
224 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
14.16 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
224 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in South West by supported asylum.