asylumstatsFollow the money
South West

East Devon

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Sir Mel Stride
Sir Mel StrideConservative · Central Devon

5 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping East Devon.

125 people on asylum support in East Devon

Rank 166 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 7.83 per 10,000 puts East Devon in the 56th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 125 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 125 people at £107 per person per day is about £4.9M a year.

What asylum costs East Devon

£2.8Mestimated hotel costs/year
£320Ksubsistence payments/year
£150KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 125 people on asylum support in East Devon(0.13% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

East Devon: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

224
3002001000Mar 2017Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Bibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20171
Jun 20171
Dec 20181
Mar 20191
Jun 20191
Sept 20191
Dec 20191
Mar 20201
Jun 20201
Sept 20201
Dec 20201
Mar 20211
Jun 20212
Sept 20211
Dec 20211
Mar 2023286
Jun 2023283
Sept 2023300
Dec 2023280
Mar 2024199
Jun 2024147
Sept 2024118
Dec 2024214
Mar 2025190
Jun 2025194
Sept 2025269
Dec 2025224

Trend

-45Latest quarter change
+223Change across series
27Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation0
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation125

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
125
Homes for Ukraine
500
Afghan programme
63
Resettlement cumulative
32

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine500
Afghan programme63
Resettlement cumulative32

Population context

All pathways total688
Share of local population0.43%

Ethnic composition projection

East Devon: White British 94.2% (2021) to 90.8% (2051).

Ethnic composition: East Devon

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 89% in 2061White Other 4% in 2061Mixed 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: East Devon

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
94%
2031proj
93%
2041proj
92%
2051proj
91%
2061proj
89%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in East Devon ranges from58.4% to 80.4%by 2051. That is a 22.1pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 66.4% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.4% (2021) → 1.0% (2051). Christian 53.6% → 10.1%.

Religion: East Devon

527497193%Census 2021Christian 10% in 2051No religion 88% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

6.2% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.16). 98.1% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: East Devon

126507499%Census 2021UK-born 66% in 2051Foreign-born 35% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.8% moved within UK, 0.5% arrived from abroad
black18.7% internal, 3.5% international
asian15.3% internal, 4.8% international
other15% internal, 4.9% international
mixed15.2% internal, 2% international
white other12.6% internal, 2.7% international
white british9.5% internal, 0.3% international

Why East Devon is changing

-2.1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+5.6pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View East Devon on UK Demographics →