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South East

East Hampshire

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Damian Hinds
Damian HindsConservative · East Hampshire

3 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping East Hampshire.

8 people on asylum support in East Hampshire

Rank 306 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.61 per 10,000 puts East Hampshire in the 13th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. Accommodation and support for 8 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.3M a year.

What asylum costs East Hampshire

£181Kestimated hotel costs/year
£20Ksubsistence payments/year
£10KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 8 people on asylum support in East Hampshire(0.01% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

East Hampshire: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

8
252168840Dec 2021Dec 2025Peak Jun 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Dec 20218
Mar 20228
Jun 20229
Sept 20229
Dec 2022211
Mar 2023206
Jun 2023252
Sept 2023250
Dec 20235
Mar 20245
Jun 20244
Sept 20248
Dec 20248
Mar 202511
Jun 20259
Sept 20259
Dec 20258

Trend

-1Latest quarter change
+0Change across series
17Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation8
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
8
Homes for Ukraine
509
Afghan programme
48
Resettlement cumulative
25

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine509
Afghan programme48
Resettlement cumulative25

Population context

All pathways total565
Share of local population0.43%

Ethnic composition projection

East Hampshire: White British 90.5% (2021) to 83.7% (2051). 80% CI: 83.4, 86.1%.

Ethnic composition: East Hampshire

025497498% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 80% in 2061White Other 8% in 2061Mixed 7% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: East Hampshire

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
93%
2021
91%
2031proj
89%
2041proj
87%
2051proj
84%
2061proj
80%
8%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in East Hampshire ranges from54.0% to 75.5%by 2051. That is a 21.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 61.7% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.6% (2021) → 1.3% (2051). Christian 54.4% → 13.6%.

Religion: East Hampshire

929496989%Census 2021Christian 14% in 2051No religion 84% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

9.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.24). 97.1% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: East Hampshire

527507396%Census 2021UK-born 54% in 2051Foreign-born 46% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.2% moved within UK, 0.6% arrived from abroad
white other14.9% internal, 2.8% international
mixed14.9% internal, 2.2% international
black14.3% internal, 1.4% international
asian12.4% internal, 2.3% international
other12.3% internal, 2.3% international
white british8.7% internal, 0.4% international

Why East Hampshire is changing

-2.5pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1pp
Local migration
+4.9pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View East Hampshire on UK Demographics →