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West Midlands

East Staffordshire

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Mike Wood
Mike WoodConservative · Kingswinford and South Staffordshire

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping East Staffordshire.

149 people on asylum support in East Staffordshire

Rank 155 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 11.33 per 10,000 puts East Staffordshire in the 64th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2052. 3 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 149 people at £107 per person per day is about £5.8M a year.

What asylum costs East Staffordshire

£3.4Mestimated hotel costs/year
£381Ksubsistence payments/year
£179KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 149 people on asylum support in East Staffordshire(0.16% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

East Staffordshire: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

139
3192131060Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Jun 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20141
Jun 20141
Sept 20142
Dec 20143
Mar 20153
Jun 20153
Sept 20153
Dec 20152
Mar 20162
Jun 20161
Sept 20163
Dec 20163
Mar 20173
Jun 20172
Sept 20174
Dec 20174
Mar 20185
Jun 20185
Sept 20186
Dec 20183
Mar 20192
Jun 20192
Dec 20191
Mar 20201
Jun 20204
Sept 20209
Dec 20208
Mar 20218
Jun 202113
Sept 202113
Dec 202113
Mar 202213
Jun 202216
Sept 202216
Dec 2022297
Mar 2023302
Jun 2023319
Sept 2023281
Dec 2023101
Mar 202421
Jun 20245
Sept 202413
Dec 202426
Mar 202558
Jun 202568
Sept 2025134
Dec 2025139

Trend

+5Latest quarter change
+138Change across series
47Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation146
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only3
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
149
Homes for Ukraine
298
Afghan programme
72
Resettlement cumulative
12

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine298
Afghan programme72
Resettlement cumulative12

Population context

All pathways total519
Share of local population0.39%

Ethnic composition projection

East Staffordshire: White British 78.2% (2021) to 50.6% (2051). White British minority by ~2052. 80% CI: 49.1, 54.6%.

Ethnic composition: East Staffordshire

023466891% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 40% in 2061White Other 17% in 2061Asian 23% in 2061Mixed 10% in 2061Other 8% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: East Staffordshire

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
86%
2021
78%
8%
9%
2031proj
71%
11%
12%
2041proj
61%
14%
16%
2051proj
51%
16%
19%
2061proj
40%
17%
23%
10%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in East Staffordshire ranges from43.5% to 59.1%by 2051. That is a 15.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 49.2% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 9.2% (2021) → 15.0% (2051). Christian 53.5% → 13.9%.

Religion: East Staffordshire

422405775%Census 2021Christian 14% in 2051No religion 70% in 2051Muslim 15% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

13.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.45). 90% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: East Staffordshire

929507191%Census 2021UK-born 44% in 2051Foreign-born 56% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.3% moved within UK, 0.6% arrived from abroad
white other13.9% internal, 3% international
black12.3% internal, 2.8% international
other10.2% internal, 2.6% international
mixed11.7% internal, 0.7% international
asian6.7% internal, 1.5% international
white british7.8% internal, 0.2% international

Why East Staffordshire is changing

-7.9pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.5pp
Local migration
-1pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View East Staffordshire on UK Demographics →