South East

Eastbourne

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Josh Babarinde
Josh BabarindeLiberal Democrats · Eastbourne
40 people on asylum support in Eastbourne

Rank 243 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 3.85 per 10,000 puts Eastbourne in the 39th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 5 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 40 people at £107 per person per day is about £1.6M a year.

What asylum costs Eastbourne

£903Kestimated hotel costs/year
£102Ksubsistence payments/year
£48KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 40 people on asylum support in Eastbourne(0.04% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Eastbourne: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

39
3882591290Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Mar 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20141
Jun 20141
Sept 20141
Dec 20142
Mar 20151
Jun 20151
Mar 20162
Jun 20162
Sept 20163
Dec 20161
Mar 20171
Jun 20171
Sept 20171
Dec 20171
Mar 20181
Sept 20183
Dec 20183
Mar 20193
Jun 20194
Sept 20194
Dec 20193
Jun 20201
Sept 20203
Dec 20203
Mar 20213
Jun 20214
Sept 20216
Dec 202166
Mar 202217
Jun 202229
Sept 202229
Dec 2022375
Mar 2023388
Jun 2023378
Sept 2023375
Dec 2023175
Mar 202464
Jun 202442
Sept 202447
Dec 202444
Mar 202550
Jun 202554
Sept 202554
Dec 202539

Trend

-15Latest quarter change
+38Change across series
44Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation35
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only5
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
40
Homes for Ukraine
275
Afghan programme
70
Resettlement cumulative
52

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine275
Afghan programme70
Resettlement cumulative52

Population context

All pathways total385
Share of local population0.37%

Ethnic composition projection

Eastbourne: White British 82.1% (2021) to 64.8% (2051). 80% CI: 63.7, 68.5%.

Ethnic composition: Eastbourne

023466992% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 56% in 2061White Other 14% in 2061Asian 5% in 2061Black 3% in 2061Mixed 9% in 2061Other 12% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Eastbourne

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
87%
2021
82%
9%
2031proj
78%
10%
2041proj
72%
12%
2051proj
65%
13%
2061proj
56%
14%
9%
12%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Eastbourne ranges from43.6% to 63.4%by 2051. That is a 19.7pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 50.5% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 2.4% (2021) → 4.5% (2051). Christian 49.2% → 12.2%.

Religion: Eastbourne

022436586%Census 2021Christian 12% in 2051No religion 81% in 2051Muslim 4% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

15.2% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.4). 92.7% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Eastbourne

1030507090%Census 2021UK-born 41% in 2051Foreign-born 59% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.8% moved within UK, 0.8% arrived from abroad
black15.3% internal, 3.6% international
asian12.8% internal, 4.3% international
white other12.5% internal, 2.4% international
other11.2% internal, 3.7% international
mixed12.6% internal, 1.6% international
white british9.2% internal, 0.3% international

Why Eastbourne is changing

-5.3pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.6pp
Local migration
+1.6pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).