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South East

Eastleigh

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Liz Jarvis
Liz JarvisLiberal Democrats · Eastleigh
10 people on asylum support in Eastleigh

Rank 301 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.7 per 10,000 puts Eastleigh in the 15th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. Accommodation and support for 10 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.4M a year.

What asylum costs Eastleigh

£226Kestimated hotel costs/year
£26Ksubsistence payments/year
£12KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 10 people on asylum support in Eastleigh(0.01% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Eastleigh: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

5
7520Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Dec 2020Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20141
Jun 20141
Sept 20141
Dec 20141
Mar 20151
Jun 20151
Sept 20151
Dec 20151
Mar 20161
Jun 20161
Sept 20161
Dec 20161
Mar 20171
Jun 20171
Sept 20171
Dec 20171
Mar 20181
Jun 20205
Sept 20205
Dec 20207
Mar 20217
Jun 20217
Sept 20217
Dec 20217
Mar 20227
Jun 20222
Sept 20223
Dec 20223
Mar 20233
Jun 20233
Sept 20231
Dec 20235
Mar 20247
Jun 20245
Sept 20245
Dec 20245
Mar 20255
Sept 20255
Dec 20255

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
+4Change across series
39Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation10
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
10
Homes for Ukraine
304
Afghan programme
29
Resettlement cumulative
9

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine304
Afghan programme29
Resettlement cumulative9

Population context

All pathways total343
Share of local population0.24%

Ethnic composition projection

Eastleigh: White British 88.1% (2021) to 76.6% (2051). 80% CI: 76.4, 80.1%.

Ethnic composition: Eastleigh

024487397% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 71% in 2061White Other 7% in 2061Asian 6% in 2061Mixed 10% in 2061Other 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Eastleigh

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
92%
2021
88%
2031proj
85%
2041proj
82%
2051proj
77%
2061proj
71%
10%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Eastleigh ranges from55.4% to 74.3%by 2051. That is a 19pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 62.4% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.1% (2021) → 1.2% (2051). Christian 48.4% → 9.0%.

Religion: Eastleigh

426487092%Census 2021Christian 9% in 2051No religion 87% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

9.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.3). 96.3% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Eastleigh

427507396%Census 2021UK-born 55% in 2051Foreign-born 45% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
black17.1% internal, 2.5% international
white other13.6% internal, 2.4% international
other11.8% internal, 2.7% international
asian11.1% internal, 2.9% international
mixed11.4% internal, 0.8% international
white british8.5% internal, 0.2% international

Why Eastleigh is changing

-3.6pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.9pp
Local migration
+3.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Eastleigh on UK Demographics →