asylumstatsFollow the money
South East

Epsom and Ewell

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Helen Maguire
Helen MaguireLiberal Democrats · Epsom and Ewell
3 people on asylum support in Epsom and Ewell

Rank 331 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.36 per 10,000 puts Epsom and Ewell in the 10th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2043. 3 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 3 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.1M a year.

What asylum costs Epsom and Ewell

£68Kestimated hotel costs/year
£8Ksubsistence payments/year
£4KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 3 people on asylum support in Epsom and Ewell(0.00% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Epsom and Ewell: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

8
5637190Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Dec 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby Stockholm
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20141
Jun 20141
Sept 20141
Dec 20141
Mar 20152
Jun 20151
Sept 20151
Dec 20151
Mar 20164
Jun 20164
Sept 20163
Dec 20163
Mar 20173
Jun 20173
Sept 20172
Dec 20172
Mar 20182
Jun 20181
Sept 20181
Jun 20191
Sept 20192
Dec 20191
Mar 20205
Jun 20205
Sept 20204
Dec 20204
Mar 20214
Jun 20214
Sept 20214
Dec 20211
Mar 20222
Jun 20226
Sept 20225
Dec 202255
Mar 202353
Jun 202347
Sept 202350
Dec 202356
Mar 20254
Jun 20255
Sept 20256
Dec 20258

Trend

+2Latest quarter change
+7Change across series
42Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation0
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only3
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
3
Homes for Ukraine
212
Afghan programme
27
Resettlement cumulative
13

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine212
Afghan programme27
Resettlement cumulative13

Population context

All pathways total242
Share of local population0.29%

Ethnic composition projection

Epsom and Ewell: White British 69.3% (2021) to 42.5% (2051). White British minority by ~2043. 80% CI: 41.9, 47.2%.

Ethnic composition: Epsom and Ewell

021426384% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 33% in 2061White Other 14% in 2061Asian 18% in 2061Mixed 22% in 2061Other 11% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Epsom and Ewell

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
79%
9%
2021
69%
10%
11%
2031proj
61%
12%
14%
2041proj
52%
13%
15%
10%
2051proj
42%
14%
17%
15%
8%
2061proj
33%
14%
18%
22%
11%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Epsom and Ewell ranges from34.3% to 50.9%by 2051. That is a 16.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 39.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 5.2% (2021) → 11.7% (2051). Christian 51.3% → 13.7%.

Religion: Epsom and Ewell

018365472%Census 2021Christian 14% in 2051No religion 67% in 2051Muslim 12% in 2051Hindu 6% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHindu

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

21.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.58). 91% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Epsom and Ewell

1733506784%Census 2021UK-born 31% in 2051Foreign-born 69% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

established diversity: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 8% moved within UK, 1% arrived from abroad
white other11% internal, 2.8% international
asian10.2% internal, 2.4% international
other10.1% internal, 2.5% international
black10.2% internal, 2% international
mixed10% internal, 1% international
white british7% internal, 0.4% international

Why Epsom and Ewell is changing

-9.3pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+0.1pp
Local migration
-3pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Epsom and Ewell on UK Demographics →