asylumstatsFollow the money
South West

Exeter

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Steve Race
Steve RaceLabour · Exeter

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Exeter.

26 people on asylum support in Exeter

Rank 261 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 1.89 per 10,000 puts Exeter in the 25th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 2 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 26 people at £107 per person per day is about £1.0M a year.

What asylum costs Exeter

£587Kestimated hotel costs/year
£66Ksubsistence payments/year
£31KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 26 people on asylum support in Exeter(0.03% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Exeter: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

20
9362310Jun 2015Dec 2025Peak Jun 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20152
Sept 20152
Dec 20152
Jun 20161
Sept 20161
Mar 20201
Jun 20201
Sept 20205
Dec 20201
Mar 20211
Jun 20211
Sept 20212
Dec 20212
Mar 20222
Jun 20222
Sept 20226
Dec 202264
Mar 202381
Jun 202393
Sept 20237
Dec 20234
Jun 20249
Sept 202414
Dec 202413
Mar 202518
Jun 202523
Sept 202518
Dec 202520

Trend

+2Latest quarter change
+18Change across series
28Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation24
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only2
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
26
Homes for Ukraine
355
Afghan programme
64
Resettlement cumulative
71

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine355
Afghan programme64
Resettlement cumulative71

Population context

All pathways total445
Share of local population0.32%

Ethnic composition projection

Exeter: White British 82.7% (2021) to 64.8% (2051). 80% CI: 62.6, 69.3%.

Ethnic composition: Exeter

023477093% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 57% in 2061White Other 17% in 2061Asian 9% in 2061Mixed 8% in 2061Other 8% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Exeter

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
88%
2021
83%
2031proj
78%
10%
2041proj
72%
13%
2051proj
65%
15%
2061proj
57%
17%
9%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Exeter ranges from51.7% to 67.6%by 2051. That is a 15.9pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 57.7% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 2.3% (2021) → 3.5% (2051). Christian 43.1% → 10.3%.

Religion: Exeter

022446689%Census 2021Christian 10% in 2051No religion 84% in 2051Muslim 3% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

15% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.39). 92.2% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Exeter

1030507090%Census 2021UK-born 55% in 2051Foreign-born 45% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 15.4% moved within UK, 2% arrived from abroad
asian18.9% internal, 14.9% international
black22.9% internal, 7.2% international
other19.8% internal, 10.1% international
mixed19.4% internal, 3.8% international
white other17.4% internal, 5% international
white british14.7% internal, 0.7% international

Why Exeter is changing

-5.6pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.7pp
Local migration
+1.4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Exeter on UK Demographics →