asylumstatsFollow the money
South East

Fareham

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Suella Braverman
Suella BravermanReform UK · Fareham and Waterlooville
24 people on asylum support in Fareham

Rank 266 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 2.08 per 10,000 puts Fareham in the 27th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 2 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 24 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.9M a year.

What asylum costs Fareham

£542Kestimated hotel costs/year
£61Ksubsistence payments/year
£29KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 24 people on asylum support in Fareham(0.03% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Fareham: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

28
3221110Jun 2019Dec 2025Peak Mar 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20198
Sept 20198
Dec 20198
Mar 20208
Jun 202014
Sept 202014
Dec 202014
Mar 202110
Jun 202116
Sept 202112
Dec 202114
Mar 202217
Jun 202217
Sept 202217
Dec 202214
Mar 202314
Jun 202324
Sept 202323
Dec 202325
Mar 202426
Jun 202424
Sept 202428
Dec 202420
Mar 202532
Jun 202529
Sept 202531
Dec 202528

Trend

-3Latest quarter change
+20Change across series
27Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation22
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only2
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
24
Homes for Ukraine
203
Afghan programme
52
Resettlement cumulative
12

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine203
Afghan programme52
Resettlement cumulative12

Population context

All pathways total279
Share of local population0.24%

Ethnic composition projection

Fareham: White British 92.8% (2021) to 85.5% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Fareham

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 81% in 2061White Other 5% in 2061Asian 3% in 2061Mixed 6% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixed

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Fareham

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
95%
2021
93%
2031proj
91%
2041proj
89%
2051proj
85%
2061proj
81%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Fareham ranges from53.4% to 77.0%by 2051. That is a 23.7pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 61.6% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.7% (2021) → 0.7% (2051). Christian 51.9% → 11.1%.

Religion: Fareham

628497192%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 87% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

6.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.2). 98.1% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Fareham

226507498%Census 2021UK-born 63% in 2051Foreign-born 37% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.2% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
black15.5% internal, 1% international
other12.9% internal, 1.8% international
white other11.4% internal, 2.1% international
mixed11.3% internal, 1.8% international
asian9.8% internal, 2.7% international
white british7.9% internal, 0.3% international

Why Fareham is changing

-1.9pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+5.6pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Fareham on UK Demographics →