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East of England

Fenland

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
3 people on asylum support in Fenland

Rank 332 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.28 per 10,000 puts Fenland in the 9th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 3 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 3 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.1M a year.

What asylum costs Fenland

£68Kestimated hotel costs/year
£8Ksubsistence payments/year
£4KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 3 people on asylum support in Fenland(0.00% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Fenland: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

2
4631150Jun 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Albania dealBibby Stockholm
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20141
Dec 20142
Mar 20156
Jun 20157
Sept 20155
Dec 20153
Mar 20163
Jun 20163
Sept 20201
Dec 20201
Mar 20212
Jun 20212
Sept 20212
Dec 20211
Mar 20221
Dec 202218
Mar 202334
Jun 202343
Sept 202346
Sept 20252
Dec 20252

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
+1Change across series
21Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation0
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only3
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
3
Homes for Ukraine
309
Afghan programme
22
Resettlement cumulative
10

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine309
Afghan programme22
Resettlement cumulative10

Population context

All pathways total334
Share of local population0.32%

Ethnic composition projection

Fenland: White British 85.9% (2021) to 70.2% (2051). 80% CI: 70, 75.1%.

Ethnic composition: Fenland

024487295% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 63% in 2061White Other 24% in 2061Mixed 6% in 2061Other 5% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Fenland

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
90%
2021
86%
10%
2031proj
82%
13%
2041proj
76%
17%
2051proj
70%
20%
2061proj
63%
24%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Fenland ranges from46.4% to 67.3%by 2051. That is a 20.9pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 53.7% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.7% (2021) → 1.4% (2051). Christian 55.5% → 13.1%.

Religion: Fenland

828496989%Census 2021Christian 13% in 2051No religion 84% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

12.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.31). 91.2% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Fenland

829507193%Census 2021UK-born 47% in 2051Foreign-born 53% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.6% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
black13.3% internal, 2.3% international
other12.4% internal, 3.2% international
asian10.5% internal, 3.2% international
white other11.2% internal, 1.9% international
mixed10.8% internal, 1.3% international
white british8.2% internal, 0.2% international

Why Fenland is changing

-4.5pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.8pp
Local migration
+2.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Fenland on UK Demographics →