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Flintshire

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
78 people on asylum support in Flintshire

Rank 196 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 5 per 10,000 puts Flintshire in the 43rd percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. Accommodation and support for 78 people at £107 per person per day is about £3.0M a year.

What asylum costs Flintshire

£1.8Mestimated hotel costs/year
£199Ksubsistence payments/year
£94KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 78 people on asylum support in Flintshire(0.08% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Flintshire: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

60
6040200Sept 2023Dec 2025Peak Dec 2025Bibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Sept 20234
Mar 202422
Jun 202430
Sept 202428
Dec 202434
Mar 202536
Jun 202553
Sept 202548
Dec 202560

Trend

+12Latest quarter change
+56Change across series
9Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation78
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
78
Homes for Ukraine
245
Afghan programme
154
Resettlement cumulative
56

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine245
Afghan programme154
Resettlement cumulative56

Population context

All pathways total477
Share of local population0.31%

Ethnic composition projection

Flintshire: White British 93.2% (2021) to 77.3% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Flintshire

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021White British 77% in 2051White Other 9% in 2051Asian 6% in 205120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsian

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Flintshire

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
93%
2026proj
91%
2031proj
89%
2036proj
86%
2041proj
83%
2046proj
80%
9%
2051proj
77%
9%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 0.5% (2021) → 0.8% (2051). Christian 55.1% → 12.3%.

Religion: Flintshire

728497091%Census 2021Christian 12% in 2051No religion 86% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

6.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.18). 96.3% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Flintshire

226507499%Census 2021UK-born 76% in 2051Foreign-born 24% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Why Flintshire is changing

-2.7pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+4.9pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Flintshire on UK Demographics →