Trend
-34 Latest quarter change
+443 Change across series
48 Official data points
Gateshead
643 on asylum support. Rank 53 nationally, 6 in North East. Rate: 31.71 per 10,000 (88th percentile). Regional provider: Mears.
2025-12-31 North East region
Summary
Gateshead has 643 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 53 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 31.71 per 10,000 residents places it around the 88th percentile. No contingency accommodation recorded. No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Gateshead
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 635
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 8
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 202
Afghan programme 202
Resettlement cumulative 515
Population context
All pathways total 1,047
Share of local population 0.52%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Gateshead: WBI 90.3% (2021) → 74.8% (2051).
Ethnic composition — Gateshead
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 2.2% (2021) → 7.3% (2051). Christian 53.1% → 9.5%.
Religion — Gateshead
Christian No religion Muslim
Nativity
7.4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.26). 95.8% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Gateshead
UK-born Foreign-born
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Gateshead is changing
-3.8ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 57.2%
Mixed 67.1%
White Other 76.3%
Other 47.1%
Homeownership rate
White British 59.6%
Mixed 39.2%
White Other 38%
Other 25.2%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 27.2%
Mixed 40.5%
White Other 45.8%
Other 30.6%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 28,439 pupils. 79.9% White British. Schools are 10.4pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 79.9%
Asian 4.8%
Black 4.6%
White Other 3.8%
Other 3.5%
Mixed 3.4%
What this means
Schools are 10pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
20.1% Minority pupils now
26.7% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
643 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
31.71 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in North East by supported asylum.