asylumstatsFollow the money
South East

Gosport

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Dame Caroline Dinenage
Dame Caroline DinenageConservative · Gosport
23 people on asylum support in Gosport

Rank 270 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 2.78 per 10,000 puts Gosport in the 31st percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. Accommodation and support for 23 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.9M a year.

What asylum costs Gosport

£519Kestimated hotel costs/year
£59Ksubsistence payments/year
£28KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 23 people on asylum support in Gosport(0.02% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Gosport: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

21
231580Jun 2014Dec 2025Peak Mar 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20141
Jun 20201
Sept 20201
Dec 20201
Mar 202111
Jun 202110
Sept 202116
Dec 202115
Mar 20229
Jun 202214
Sept 202215
Dec 202215
Mar 202315
Jun 202319
Sept 202320
Dec 202313
Mar 202415
Jun 202416
Sept 202416
Dec 202417
Mar 202523
Jun 202523
Sept 202521
Dec 202521

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
+20Change across series
24Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation23
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
23
Homes for Ukraine
147
Afghan programme
40
Resettlement cumulative
0

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine147
Afghan programme40
Resettlement cumulative0

Population context

All pathways total210
Share of local population0.25%

Ethnic composition projection

Gosport: White British 92.4% (2021) to 81.0% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Gosport

025507599% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 72% in 2061White Other 5% in 2061Black 7% in 2061Mixed 9% in 2061Other 5% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Gosport

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
94%
2021
92%
2031proj
90%
2041proj
87%
2051proj
81%
2061proj
72%
9%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Gosport ranges from47.9% to 74.0%by 2051. That is a 26.2pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 56.6% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.6% (2021) → 0.4% (2051). Christian 47.0% → 10.9%.

Religion: Gosport

628497192%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 87% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

7.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.21). 97.7% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Gosport

226507498%Census 2021UK-born 62% in 2051Foreign-born 39% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.9% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
black14.7% internal, 2.3% international
other10.5% internal, 6.2% international
mixed13% internal, 1.6% international
white other11.9% internal, 2.3% international
asian10.4% internal, 2.1% international
white british8.6% internal, 0.2% international

Why Gosport is changing

-2pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.1pp
Local migration
+5.5pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Gosport on UK Demographics →