East of England

Great Yarmouth

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Rupert Lowe
Rupert LoweRestore Britain · Great Yarmouth
12 people on asylum support in Great Yarmouth

Rank 300 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 1.19 per 10,000 puts Great Yarmouth in the 20th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 7 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 12 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.5M a year.

What asylum costs Great Yarmouth

£271Kestimated hotel costs/year
£31Ksubsistence payments/year
£14KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 12 people on asylum support in Great Yarmouth(0.01% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Great Yarmouth: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

11
7248240Dec 2020Dec 2025Peak Dec 2022Albania dealBibby Stockholm
Exact values
PeriodValue
Dec 20201
Mar 20211
Jun 20211
Sept 20211
Dec 20211
Dec 202272
Mar 202367
Jun 202371
Sept 202367
Dec 202346
Mar 202510
Jun 202511
Sept 202513
Dec 202511

Trend

-2Latest quarter change
+10Change across series
14Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation5
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only7
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
12
Homes for Ukraine
148
Afghan programme
28
Resettlement cumulative
0

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine148
Afghan programme28
Resettlement cumulative0

Population context

All pathways total188
Share of local population0.19%

Ethnic composition projection

Great Yarmouth: White British 88.9% (2021) to 74.1% (2051). 80% CI: 73, 77.2%.

Ethnic composition: Great Yarmouth

024497398% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 66% in 2061White Other 14% in 2061Asian 4% in 2061Black 4% in 2061Mixed 6% in 2061Other 6% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Great Yarmouth

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
93%
2021
89%
2031proj
85%
2041proj
80%
9%
2051proj
74%
11%
2061proj
66%
14%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Great Yarmouth ranges from47.5% to 70.0%by 2051. That is a 22.4pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 55.3% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.8% (2021) → 1.0% (2051). Christian 49.7% → 11.8%.

Religion: Great Yarmouth

728496990%Census 2021Christian 12% in 2051No religion 85% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

9.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.28). 93.7% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Great Yarmouth

527507395%Census 2021UK-born 54% in 2051Foreign-born 46% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.6% moved within UK, 0.6% arrived from abroad
asian14.3% internal, 10.4% international
black11.9% internal, 6.5% international
other12.3% internal, 3.9% international
white other12.4% internal, 2.6% international
mixed11.3% internal, 2.7% international
white british8.2% internal, 0.1% international

Why Great Yarmouth is changing

-3.9pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1pp
Local migration
+3.5pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).