Gwynedd
Rank 182 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 7.56 per 10,000 puts Gwynedd in the 55th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. Accommodation and support for 91 people at £107 per person per day is about £3.6M a year.
What asylum costs Gwynedd
Estimates based on 91 people on asylum support in Gwynedd(0.10% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.
Gwynedd: asylum numbers still rising
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Exact values
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Mar 2014 | 3 |
| Jun 2014 | 3 |
| Sept 2014 | 3 |
| Dec 2014 | 3 |
| Mar 2015 | 3 |
| Jun 2015 | 3 |
| Sept 2015 | 3 |
| Dec 2015 | 3 |
| Mar 2016 | 3 |
| Jun 2016 | 3 |
| Sept 2016 | 3 |
| Dec 2016 | 3 |
| Mar 2017 | 3 |
| Jun 2023 | 16 |
| Sept 2023 | 21 |
| Dec 2023 | 14 |
| Mar 2024 | 23 |
| Jun 2024 | 27 |
| Sept 2024 | 38 |
| Dec 2024 | 40 |
| Mar 2025 | 45 |
| Jun 2025 | 40 |
| Sept 2025 | 44 |
| Dec 2025 | 47 |
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Population context
Ethnic composition projection
Gwynedd: White British 93.3% (2021) to 77.3% (2051).
Ethnic composition: Gwynedd
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Gwynedd
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 1.0% (2021) → 0.4% (2051). Christian 49.8% → 12.7%.
Religion: Gwynedd
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
5.4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.19). 97.5% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Gwynedd
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Gwynedd is changing
-1.1ppWhite British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
Homeownership rate
Degree+ qualification rate
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
National distribution.
Per 10,000 residents.
Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in Wales by supported asylum.