East Midlands

Harborough

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Neil O'Brien
Neil O'BrienConservative · Harborough, Oadby and Wigston
1 people on asylum support in Harborough

Rank 340 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.09 per 10,000 puts Harborough in the 6th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 1 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.0M a year.

What asylum costs Harborough

£23Kestimated hotel costs/year
£3Ksubsistence payments/year
£1KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 1 people on asylum support in Harborough(0.00% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Harborough: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

1
3210Jun 2018Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby Stockholm
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20181
Sept 20181
Dec 20182
Mar 20192
Jun 20192
Sept 20192
Dec 20192
Mar 20202
Jun 20202
Sept 20211
Dec 20211
Mar 20221
Jun 20221
Sept 20221
Dec 20221
Mar 20231
Jun 20231
Sept 20233
Mar 20251
Jun 20251
Sept 20251
Dec 20251

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
+0Change across series
22Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation0
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
1
Homes for Ukraine
343
Afghan programme
31
Resettlement cumulative
13

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine343
Afghan programme31
Resettlement cumulative13

Population context

All pathways total375
Share of local population0.35%

Ethnic composition projection

Harborough: White British 87.5% (2021) to 74.0% (2051). 80% CI: 73.2, 77%.

Ethnic composition: Harborough

024497398% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 67% in 2061White Other 4% in 2061Asian 14% in 2061Mixed 9% in 2061Other 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Harborough

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
93%
2021
88%
2031proj
84%
2041proj
80%
9%
2051proj
74%
11%
2061proj
67%
14%
9%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Harborough ranges from47.1% to 69.8%by 2051. That is a 22.7pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 54.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.2% (2021) → 5.8% (2051). Christian 53.1% → 10.6%.

Religion: Harborough

018375573%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 68% in 2051Muslim 6% in 2051Hindu 9% in 2051Sikh 5% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHinduSikh

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

7.2% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.3). 97.2% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Harborough

226507498%Census 2021UK-born 62% in 2051Foreign-born 38% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.7% moved within UK, 0.5% arrived from abroad
black15.8% internal, 8.5% international
white other13.9% internal, 2.7% international
mixed15.7% internal, 0.9% international
asian14.2% internal, 1.1% international
other12.2% internal, 1.3% international
white british9% internal, 0.3% international

Why Harborough is changing

-5.3pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1pp
Local migration
+2.1pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).