asylumstatsFollow the money
South East

Hart

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Mr Jonathan Brash
Mr Jonathan BrashLabour · Hartlepool
0 people on asylum support in Hart

Rank 351 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0 per 10,000 puts Hart in the 4th percentile. That means fewer than most areas.

Hart: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Jun 2023. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

2
2110Dec 2016Jun 2023Peak Sept 2017Rwanda schemeAlbania deal
Exact values
PeriodValue
Dec 20161
Mar 20171
Jun 20171
Sept 20172
Dec 20172
Mar 20182
Jun 20182
Sept 20182
Dec 20181
Mar 20202
Jun 20202
Sept 20202
Dec 20202
Mar 20212
Jun 20212
Sept 20212
Dec 20212
Mar 20222
Jun 20222
Sept 20222
Dec 20222
Mar 20232
Jun 20232

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
+1Change across series
23Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation0
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
0
Homes for Ukraine
308
Afghan programme
18
Resettlement cumulative
0

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine308
Afghan programme18
Resettlement cumulative0

Population context

All pathways total326
Share of local population0.32%

Ethnic composition projection

Hart: White British 87.0% (2021) to 75.5% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Hart

024487296% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 69% in 2061White Other 9% in 2061Asian 5% in 2061Mixed 11% in 2061Other 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Hart

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
91%
2021
87%
2031proj
84%
2041proj
81%
2051proj
76%
8%
2061proj
69%
9%
11%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Hart ranges from48.3% to 70.3%by 2051. That is a 22pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 55.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.9% (2021) → 1.2% (2051). Christian 52.7% → 11.4%.

Religion: Hart

627486889%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 84% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

11.7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.32). 96.3% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Hart

728507293%Census 2021UK-born 49% in 2051Foreign-born 52% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.5% moved within UK, 0.7% arrived from abroad
other14.4% internal, 3.1% international
black13.6% internal, 3% international
asian13% internal, 3.4% international
white other13.5% internal, 2.5% international
mixed13.2% internal, 1.1% international
white british8.9% internal, 0.4% international

Why Hart is changing

-3.7pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.8pp
Local migration
+3.5pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Hart on UK Demographics →