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South East

Havant

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Alan Mak
Alan MakConservative · Havant
15 people on asylum support in Havant

Rank 292 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 1.18 per 10,000 puts Havant in the 19th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 15 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.6M a year.

What asylum costs Havant

£339Kestimated hotel costs/year
£38Ksubsistence payments/year
£18KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 15 people on asylum support in Havant(0.02% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Havant: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

17
181260Jun 2016Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20162
Sept 20162
Dec 20193
Mar 20203
Jun 20203
Sept 20207
Dec 20205
Mar 20217
Jun 20217
Sept 20218
Dec 20215
Mar 20223
Jun 20223
Sept 20227
Dec 20227
Mar 20237
Jun 20239
Sept 202318
Dec 202316
Mar 202417
Jun 202416
Sept 202417
Dec 202414
Mar 202514
Jun 202513
Sept 202515
Dec 202517

Trend

+2Latest quarter change
+15Change across series
27Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation14
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
15
Homes for Ukraine
202
Afghan programme
64
Resettlement cumulative
12

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine202
Afghan programme64
Resettlement cumulative12

Population context

All pathways total281
Share of local population0.22%

Ethnic composition projection

Havant: White British 93.2% (2021) to 85.3% (2051). 80% CI: 85.1, 87.5%.

Ethnic composition: Havant

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 80% in 2061White Other 5% in 2061Asian 4% in 2061Mixed 8% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Havant

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
95%
2021
93%
2031proj
92%
2041proj
89%
2051proj
85%
2061proj
80%
8%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Havant ranges from56.0% to 78.8%by 2051. That is a 22.7pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 64.1% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.6% (2021) → 0.5% (2051). Christian 48.0% → 11.7%.

Religion: Havant

728497092%Census 2021Christian 12% in 2051No religion 87% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

6.4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.19). 97.9% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Havant

126507499%Census 2021UK-born 65% in 2051Foreign-born 36% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.8% moved within UK, 0.3% arrived from abroad
black15.7% internal, 2% international
other12.1% internal, 1.6% international
white other10.4% internal, 2.2% international
asian10.1% internal, 2.4% international
mixed11.4% internal, 0.6% international
white british7.5% internal, 0.2% international

Why Havant is changing

-2pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+5.6pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Havant on UK Demographics →