asylumstatsFollow the money
East Midlands

Hinckley and Bosworth

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Dr Luke Evans
Dr Luke EvansConservative · Hinckley and Bosworth
143 people on asylum support in Hinckley and Bosworth

Rank 159 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 12.09 per 10,000 puts Hinckley and Bosworth in the 65th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 7 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 143 people at £107 per person per day is about £5.6M a year.

What asylum costs Hinckley and Bosworth

£3.2Mestimated hotel costs/year
£366Ksubsistence payments/year
£172KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 143 people on asylum support in Hinckley and Bosworth(0.15% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Hinckley and Bosworth: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

66
6644220Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Dec 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania deal
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20141
Jun 20141
Sept 20141
Dec 20141
Mar 20151
Jun 20151
Jun 20161
Mar 20192
Jun 20192
Sept 20192
Dec 20192
Sept 20213
Dec 20213
Mar 20223
Jun 20225
Sept 20225
Dec 202239
Mar 20236
Jun 20235
Dec 202410
Mar 202514
Jun 202520
Sept 202536
Dec 202566

Trend

+30Latest quarter change
+65Change across series
24Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation136
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only7
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
143
Homes for Ukraine
268
Afghan programme
5
Resettlement cumulative
28

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine268
Afghan programme5
Resettlement cumulative28

Population context

All pathways total416
Share of local population0.35%

Ethnic composition projection

Hinckley and Bosworth: White British 90.8% (2021) to 79.4% (2051). 80% CI: 78.9, 82.1%.

Ethnic composition: Hinckley and Bosworth

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 72% in 2061White Other 7% in 2061Asian 5% in 2061Mixed 11% in 2061Other 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Hinckley and Bosworth

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
95%
2021
91%
2031proj
88%
2041proj
85%
2051proj
79%
2061proj
72%
11%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Hinckley and Bosworth ranges from52.5% to 74.8%by 2051. That is a 22.3pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 60.4% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.7% (2021) → 1.1% (2051). Christian 52.6% → 12.4%.

Religion: Hinckley and Bosworth

728486888%Census 2021Christian 12% in 2051No religion 83% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

6.2% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.24). 97.2% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Hinckley and Bosworth

126507499%Census 2021UK-born 65% in 2051Foreign-born 35% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.7% moved within UK, 0.3% arrived from abroad
other17.8% internal, 1.1% international
white other13.2% internal, 1.8% international
black12.5% internal, 1.9% international
mixed11.6% internal, 0.6% international
asian10% internal, 1% international
white british7.2% internal, 0.2% international

Why Hinckley and Bosworth is changing

-3.8pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+3.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Hinckley and Bosworth on UK Demographics →