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South West

Isles of Scilly

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
0 people on asylum support in Isles of Scilly

Rank 354 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0 per 10,000 puts Isles of Scilly in the 4th percentile. That means fewer than most areas.

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation0
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
0
Homes for Ukraine
0
Afghan programme
0
Resettlement cumulative
0

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine0
Afghan programme0
Resettlement cumulative0

Population context

All pathways total0
Share of local population0%

Ethnic composition projection

Isles of Scilly: White British 93.7% (2021) to 71.7% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Isles of Scilly

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021White British 72% in 2051White Other 11% in 2051Asian 6% in 2051Black 3% in 2051Mixed 4% in 2051Other 4% in 205120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Isles of Scilly

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
95%
2021
94%
2026proj
91%
2031proj
88%
2036proj
84%
2041proj
80%
9%
2046proj
75%
10%
2051proj
72%
11%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Isles of Scilly ranges from6.3% to 12.5%by 2051. That is a 6.1pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 7.3% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.0% (2021) → 0.0% (2051). Christian 50.1% → 18.8%.

Religion: Isles of Scilly

1432506885%Census 2021Christian 19% in 2051No religion 80% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

5.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.17). 97.7% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Isles of Scilly

1255075100%Census 2021UK-born 74% in 2051Foreign-born 26% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Why Isles of Scilly is changing

-1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+6.5pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Isles of Scilly on UK Demographics →