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East of England

King's Lynn and West Norfolk

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
James Wild
James WildConservative · North West Norfolk

5 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping King's Lynn and West Norfolk.

65 people on asylum support in King's Lynn and West Norfolk

Rank 216 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 4.14 per 10,000 puts King's Lynn and West Norfolk in the 40th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 2 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 65 people at £107 per person per day is about £2.5M a year.

What asylum costs King's Lynn and West Norfolk

£1.5Mestimated hotel costs/year
£166Ksubsistence payments/year
£78KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 65 people on asylum support in King's Lynn and West Norfolk(0.07% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

King's Lynn and West Norfolk: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

9
9630Dec 2020Dec 2025Peak Dec 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania deal
Exact values
PeriodValue
Dec 20201
Mar 20211
Jun 20211
Sept 20211
Dec 20211
Mar 20221
Jun 20222
Sept 20222
Dec 20222
Mar 20232
Jun 20232
Mar 20251
Jun 20251
Sept 20254
Dec 20259

Trend

+5Latest quarter change
+8Change across series
15Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation63
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only2
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
65
Homes for Ukraine
377
Afghan programme
45
Resettlement cumulative
0

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine377
Afghan programme45
Resettlement cumulative0

Population context

All pathways total487
Share of local population0.31%

Ethnic composition projection

King's Lynn and West Norfolk: White British 88.8% (2021) to 76.7% (2051). 80% CI: 76, 79.9%.

Ethnic composition: King's Lynn and West Norfolk

024497397% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 71% in 2061White Other 15% in 2061Asian 4% in 2061Mixed 5% in 2061Other 5% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: King's Lynn and West Norfolk

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
92%
2021
89%
2031proj
86%
9%
2041proj
82%
11%
2051proj
77%
13%
2061proj
71%
15%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in King's Lynn and West Norfolk ranges from54.5% to 72.9%by 2051. That is a 18.4pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 61.3% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.6% (2021) → 0.8% (2051). Christian 56.0% → 13.6%.

Religion: King's Lynn and West Norfolk

929496989%Census 2021Christian 14% in 2051No religion 84% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

10.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.27). 94.2% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: King's Lynn and West Norfolk

528507295%Census 2021UK-born 52% in 2051Foreign-born 48% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.6% moved within UK, 0.7% arrived from abroad
asian13.3% internal, 10.3% international
black12.7% internal, 8.1% international
other9.9% internal, 6.6% international
mixed12.8% internal, 2.4% international
white other10.6% internal, 2.6% international
white british8.3% internal, 0.3% international

Why King's Lynn and West Norfolk is changing

-3.5pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1pp
Local migration
+3.9pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View King's Lynn and West Norfolk on UK Demographics →